China's employment may be a big problem in 2016

CNMOULDING REPORT

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   China is a manufacturing country, relying on manufacturing to solve the huge low-end employment population. Now the decline of manufacturing, the Internet + innovation enterprises begin to encounter the winter capital, service industry alone is difficult to meet the demand for employment, and the service industry cannot establish the industry system of China's high-end, manufacturing industry is the pillar of China's economy, the wavering, Chinese foundations will be shaken.
This year's export data level dropped.
China is still in a recession. Decline in exports, imports fell faster, resulting in a decline in surplus. Customs data show that in the first 10 months of this year, China's import and export value of 19.93 yuan, down 8.1% over the same period last year. Among them, exports 11.46 yuan, down 2%; imports 8.47 yuan, down 15.2%; trade surplus of 2.99 yuan, expanding 75.3%. In October, China's import and export value of 2.06 yuan, down 9%. Among them, the export of 1.23 yuan, down 3.6%; imports 833140000000 yuan, down 16%; trade surplus of 393220000000 yuan, expanding 40.2%. According to U.S. dollars, imports fell by 18.8% in October, Twelfth consecutive months of decline, but the decline narrowed in September.
Real export data should be consistent with the customs statistics, from the Canton Fair and so on the level of the. At present, the RMB exchange rate and interest rate is not attractive, because many business owners for asset allocation, the need for dollars or Hong Kong dollars, corporate fraud more than the export, less than the power of imports, but rather, will be less than the import. From private enterprise data to see that is the case, the proportion of import and export promotion, the first 10 months, private enterprises import and export 7.28 yuan, down 36.5%, accounting for 2 of my total foreign trade, compared with the same period last year increased by 2.8% percentage points. Among them, the export of 5.13 yuan, an increase of 44.8%, accounting for 2% of total exports; imports 2.15 yuan, down 25.4%, accounting for 12.6% of total imports. A slight decline in exports, imports fell sharply, the settlement will reduce.
Trade data in Hongkong and the mainland is a mirror, the data show that the first 10 months, the total trade value of 1.61 yuan, down 8.1%, accounting for 11.6% of the total foreign trade. Among them, the export of 1.55 yuan, a decrease of 11.7%; 53530000000 yuan from 10% yuan, a decrease of 1.5; the trade surplus of yuan, narrowed 11.8%. According to the data of Hong Kong, following the August recorded of 7.4% decline, the September Hong Kong value of imports of goods for 3531 00000000 yuan, down 7.6%. So far, the Hongkong commodity imports have been falling for 8 months.
So, it's hard to believe that the manufacturing sector is improving. The manufacturing purchasing managers' index is a proof of the weakness in domestic and external demand and weak employment.
October official manufacturing PMI was 49.8, from the PMI five major sub point of view, production, inventory of raw materials, employees and suppliers to the time index declined, only a slight rise in the new orders index. For the same period last year, the new orders and new export orders for -1.9 and -2.8. Domestic and external demand is still weak. Small and medium enterprises to reflect the new PMI data, the new export orders index for the first time to return to the expansion area for the first time in June, but the order is not prosperous, the employment index in the last two years continued to hover below 50%.
In transition to the low-end manufacturing industry in Southeast Asia, South America is a clear trend. Different from around 2003, when the transfer of Foxconn, Nike and other basic construction is not equipped with the basic construction, logistics is not free of obstacles, and now these obstacles are generally resolved. In Europe and the United States supermarkets, from clothes to food, the amount of Chinese goods are in decline, only a household electrical appliance, mechanical and electrical products steady rise, an optimist would say, this is the readjustment of the economic structure of China must go through the pain. Don't forget that China has not been training of low-end labor population.
According to the thirteen five year plan, by 2020, there are 100000000 rural residents into urban residents. At present, according to the resident population, China's urbanization rate has been close to 55%, urban resident population reached 750000000, of which 250000000 migrant workers, 100000000 cities, there are 150000000, and rural population growth is higher than the city. According to the latest data from the Bureau of statistics, China's total population of nearly 1370000000 in 2014, even if the city's resident of 250000000 have a city residence, there are still 520000000 rural residents, there are about 70000000 of the extreme poverty population. From the dynamic point of view, the rural poor population growth rate is higher than the city, if the 2020 if there are about 500000000 of the rural labor force, the Chinese manufacturing industry should do?
To add insult to injury, the cold weather hit the Internet. Recently, Huawei, Baidu, Lenovo, Alibaba, Tencent and other successive large Internet company personnel adjustment. Forward technology in October 21st news, Ali, Baidu has announced a reduction in the recruitment scale, Tencent also came to stop recruiting, so far, BAT three giants in the personnel have the action, fever, fever, capital was poured a bucket of ice water. In fact, the enterprise can go beyond five years of life and death line of no more than 10%.
In terms of manufacturing enterprises, or from entrepreneurial enterprises, China along with employment difficulties, the most difficult transition period is coming, requires extreme practicality and high safety margin of individuals and enterprises, in order to break through the winter.

        Author :CNMOULDING  give Plastic Injection Moulding & Custom Plastic Molds Solution Since 1997