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2020年10月3日星期六

Trump's infection does n' t help the campaign, but it may risk further deterioration in Sino-US relations

 On October 2, Trump revealed that he and first lady Melania were infected with the new crown pneumonia. Although Trump and his wife Melania say they are in good shape and White House doctors have issued statements saying they are in good condition, according to U.S. CNN, medical experts say Trump may take at least a week to develop symptoms of new crown pneumonia.



 Referring to Boris Johnson's case, he felt good at the beginning of the diagnosis, but finally became severe and on the ventilator. Although Johnson may have been infected with a higher virus density and seemed more toxic at the time, Boris Johnson was younger than Trump, and the Trump BMI index reached 30.4, for obese people, so Trump is not likely to become severe.

 Some think Trump's illness is good for the election, and some even think it's a conspiracy. But Cnmoulding should see that American voters have a good understanding of their position, and because of the social tear, both Trump and anti-Trump voters are very firm, and will not change their vote because of the infection with Trump's new crown pneumonia. As for middle voters or swing states, this time it is small, and middle voters clearly have more reason to think Trump is self-inflicted.

Instead, Trump's illness may pose a bigger problem for the Republican presidential election, and serious health problems for candidates can easily lead to chaos within the campaign, especially for Trump, a low-quality decision-making team. There are many conceited ambitions but the strategy is very rough. Where Trump may not be able to control the situation, there may be some people within the team looking for self-interest and undermining the quality of the campaign.



For now, the biggest beneficiary of Trump's infection is the Republican establishment, and Mike Burns can have more power for the time being, which could make some arrangements for the Republican establishment. Of course, the Republican Party is still running around the election, and whether Pence will be hit by a pie in the sky or whether Trump will be unlucky enough to become sick or sick. The odds are small, but it would be interesting to see if the Republican establishment would push the Republican de-Trump,

So, on a temporary basis, Trump's infection may not have much impact on the election. A potential danger, however, is whether Trump will spread his emotions to China if he becomes severe and recovers after severe pain. Although the US presidential election is November 3, the formal transfer of power is January 20, and whether Trump's emotional push for a policy that seriously deteriorates Sino-US relations will become a potential risk. Although Trump hides the merchant's shrewdness behind the "giant baby ", his inability to reasonably control his emotions and extreme egotistical personality has been repeatedly confirmed, so he could have extremely serious consequences if he spread the accumulated defeat and illness into Sino-US relations.


The US presidential campaign, which had already targeted China, is now making more variables.
 We hope that China-US relations will return to normal as soon as possible. The hope of a Chinese mold maker.


2020年9月1日星期二

The biggest beneficiary of the Sino-US trade war

 Great! In just eight and a half months, Vietnam's trade surplus exceeded $10 billion, surpassing the full year of 2019

Great! In the context of the global pandemic of the new crown pneumonia epidemic and the fact that trade in most countries has not returned to normal levels, Vietnam's foreign commodity imports and exports have achieved good results. Data show that as of August 15,2020, Vietnam's total imports and exports reached $310.4 billion.

 As exports grew faster than imports, Vietnam's trade surplus expanded —— Vietnam's total merchandise exports amounted to $160.2 billion, imports were about $150.2 billion, and the trade surplus had just exceeded the $10 billion mark, surpassing the 2019 trade surplus.
 CNMOULDING found that in 2019, Vietnam's total import and export of foreign goods was about $516.96 billion, exports were $263.45 billion, imports were $253.51 billion, and the trade surplus was $9.94 billion —— compared with $10 billion in the eight and a half months of this year.


Why is Vietnam's commodity trade so strong against a backdrop of a global economic downturn and difficult external demand to boost? This is because Vietnam has a grand goal to develop into a prosperous, prosperous, prosperous and stable developed country by 2045.
 This ambitious goal is divided into two stages, first, by 2030, Vietnam will enter the ranks of high-income countries in the world; second, after more than ten years of struggle, Strive for 2045 or so (that is, Vietnam's 100th anniversary of independence), develop into a developed country.
 The Vietnamese authorities have worked so hard to achieve these two goals, and the time is so tight. As a result, most countries are suffering from the current economic and trade epidemic, but Vietnam's economy in the first half of the year achieved 1.81% growth, the first eight and a half months behind the record trade surplus.

Vietnam's free trade agreement with the European Union has come into effect. Although the two sides have not actively promoted the implementation due to the current epidemic, they believe that Vietnam's trade with the European Union will show "exponential growth" in the near future, and will also promote the rapid economic growth of Vietnam.
 Besides, the "RCEP"" of the ten ASEAN countries, including Vietnam, China, Japan, South Korea, Australia and New Zealand, are also actively promoting. The other side said it would formally sign the agreement by the end of this year to promote free trade as soon as possible and is still actively soliciting India to join.
 Vietnam will have a huge new export market in 2021—— including China, Japan, South Korea and so on, with a population of more than 2 billion and GDP more than $24 trillion. If India eventually joined, the market would be even bigger, and Vietnam's trade would be a "tonic ".

Vietnam's low-end labor-intensive manufacturing industry, whether to maintain years of high growth is also unknown. The trade war between China and the United States has led to a large number of enterprises moving to Southeast Asia, of which Vietnam is the most beneficial. Of course, high-end products still need to be produced in China, such as precision medical injection molding products, large mold manufacturing.
 Chinese counterparts must take this development seriously