2020年3月5日星期四

Global energy industry joins forces Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)





全球能源行业携手抗击新冠病毒

能源是世界的动力,能源行业受新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎疫情(简称“新冠疫情”)影响比较大,能源行业与整个国民经济关系密切,因此,整个国家的 GDP 会受到比较大的影响。能源行业又可以细分为很多行业,最近,我们和国家电网、中国石油等大央企,以及部分民营能源企业的有关人员进行了交
流,下面简要分析新冠疫情对石油天然气行业和电力行业的影响,提出相应的对策建议。

6. Global energy industry joins forces to
fight COVID-19

Energy is the driving force of the world.
The pneumonia epidemic of the COVID-19 infection in the energy industry
(referred to as the "new crown epidemic") is relatively large. The
energy industry is closely related to the entire national economy. Therefore,
the GDP of the entire country will be relatively affected. The energy industry
can be subdivided into many industries. Recently, we have communicated with
relevant personnel of large central enterprises such as State Grid, PetroChina,
and some private energy companies. The following briefly analyzes the impact of
the new crown epidemic on the oil and gas industry and the power industry
Propose corresponding countermeasures.


一、新冠疫情对石油天然气行业的影响

我们询问了一些国有与民营加油站,武汉封城以来,加油站的营业收入只有去年同期的 30%左右。抗击新冠病毒成为全国的头等大事之后,全国范围内
迎来企业延长假期、推迟复工时间,高速公路限行、公共交通停运,甚至一些
边远地区的公共交通都停运,绝大部分民众响应政府号召居家避险、不出家
门,私家车出行频率与出行半径大幅萎缩;户外工程、工矿企业、物流运输等行业短期内难以复工,柴油需求处于冰点。导致国内成品油市场消费量急剧下降。受疫情影响,国内地炼工厂也普遍承压。由于交通政策,部分高速危化品物流运输受阻,地炼的下游产品库存激增压力下,炼厂降量甚至停工集中,部分主流地炼降量幅度在 30%-50%,部分甚至维持 30%开工负荷,个别地炼部分装置已经停工或闭路循环,另有部分地炼做好全厂停工预案,观望事态进展待定。

I. Impact of Xinguan epidemic on oil and
gas industry

We asked some state-owned and private gas
stations. Since Wuhan was closed, the operating income of gas stations has been
only about 30% of the same period last year. After the fight against the new
crown virus became the nation ’s top priority, companies across the country
ushered in extended vacations and postponement of work. National highways were
restricted, public transportation was suspended, and even public transportation
in some remote areas was suspended. Most people responded to the government ’s
call. The risk of home staying at home and not leaving home has greatly reduced
the frequency and radius of travel of private cars; outdoor engineering,
industrial and mining enterprises, logistics and transportation industries are
difficult to resume work in the short term, and diesel demand is at freezing
point. As a result, the domestic refined oil market consumption has dropped
sharply. Affected by the epidemic, domestic refineries are also under pressure.
Due to transportation policies, some high-speed hazardous chemicals logistics
transportation was blocked. Under the pressure of the downstream product
inventories of geochemical refining surged, the reduction of refineries and
even shutdowns were concentrated. Some mainstream refining reduction ranges
from 30% to 50%, and some even maintained 30%. Starting load, some plants have
been shut down or closed-loop in some refineries, while others have been
prepared for the entire plant shutdown plan, and wait and see the progress of
the situation to be determined.

国内油价开始下调。据国家发改委消息,国内油价迎 2020 年首次下调,新
一轮国内成品油调价窗口 4 日 24 时开启。汽油每吨下调 420 元、柴油每吨下调
405 元。全国平均来看:92 号汽油每升下调 0.33 元、95 号汽油每升下调 0.35
元、0 号柴油每升下调 0.35 元。
Domestic oil prices began to fall.
According to the National Development and Reform Commission, domestic oil
prices will fall for the first time in 2020, and a new round of domestic
refined oil price adjustment windows will open at 24:00 on the 4th. Gasoline is
reduced by 420 yuan per ton and diesel is reduced by 405 yuan per ton.
Nationally, on average: No. 92 gasoline is lowered by 0.33 yuan per liter, No.
95 gasoline is lowered by 0.35 yuan per liter, and No. 0 diesel is powered by
0.35 yuan per liter.


新冠疫情也影响国外油价。从国际油价来看,2020 年 1 月 21 日,国际油价进入了下行通道,这轮下跌源于疫情的扩散和蔓延。从武汉封城开始,国际油价的跌幅迅速拉大,以每天超过 1 美元/桶的幅度连跌四天。1 月 28 日,国际油价盘中更是跌到了三个多月来的最低价位。OPEC 及其盟友进行了初步讨论,并表示已做好准备采取措施,包括采取进一步削减产量,同时密切关注疫情对原油价格影响。
The new crown epidemic also affected
foreign oil prices. From the perspective of international oil prices, on January 21, 2020, international oil prices entered a downward channel. This
round of decline stems from the spread and spread of the epidemic. Starting
from the closure of Wuhan, the decline in international oil prices quickly
increased, falling for four consecutive days at a rate of more than $ 1 per
barrel per day. On January 28, the international oil price fell to its lowest
level in more than three months. OPEC and its allies held preliminary
discussions and said that they were ready to take measures, including further
reductions in production, while closely monitoring the impact of the epidemic
on crude oil prices.
二、新冠疫情对电力行业的影响

新冠疫情直接影响电网公司的营业收入。绝大多数人呆在家里,居民用电量增加,但是对于电网公司的营业收入没有多少贡献。很多人不知道中国的电价政
策,电价由国家发改委在决定。从 2017 年到 2019 年,我国实现了连续三年降低
工商业电价,2019 年《政府工作报告》再次提出关于一般工商业平均电价再降低 
10%的要求。电价收入和一般的市场经济思维明显不同,真正用电量大的是工业、 商业服务业企业,居民用电量明显低于工商业用电,理论上应该居民用户电价高
于工商业用户,但是国家发改委的规定是工商业用户的电价高于居民用电的电价。全国范围内,居民用电量一般占 15%,工商用电占 85%。新冠疫情期间,工厂停
工或者延迟复工,商店关门或者延迟开张,电网公司的主体收入自然明显下降。
过去 20 年来,世界能源强度(单位 GDP 能耗)平均每年下降 1.4%,其中一个主要原因是能源系统的加速电气化,因为使用电力比直接燃烧化石燃料更高效
(使用电力的热量损失更少)。电网公司营业收入降低,将直接波及众多相关行业。电力由煤炭、石油、天然气、核燃料、水能、海洋能、风能、太阳能、生物质能等一次能源经发电设施转换成电能,再通过输电、变电与配电系统供给用户作为能源。

2, the impact of the new crown epidemic on
the power industry

The new crown epidemic directly affects the
operating income of grid companies. The vast majority of people stay at home,
and residents consume more electricity, but they do not contribute much to the
operating income of the grid company. Many people don't know China's
electricity price policy. The electricity price is determined by the National
Development and Reform Commission. From 2017 to 2019, China has achieved
reductions in industrial and commercial electricity prices for three
consecutive years. The 2019 Government Work Report once again proposed that the
average industrial and commercial electricity prices were lowered again 10%
requirement. The electricity price income is obviously different from the
general market economy thinking. The real electricity consumers are industrial
and commercial service companies. The electricity consumption of residents is
significantly lower than that of industrial and commercial electricity.
Theoretically, the electricity price of residential users should be higher than
that of industrial and commercial users. However, the National Development and
Reform Commission The rule is that the electricity price of industrial and
commercial users is higher than the electricity price of residential
electricity. Nationally, residents generally consume 15% of electricity, and
industrial and commercial electricity accounts for 85%. During the new crown
epidemic, factory shutdowns or delayed resumption of work, store closures or
delayed openings, the main income of the grid companies naturally dropped
significantly.
Over the past 20 years, the world's energy
intensity (energy consumption per unit of GDP) has decreased by an average of 1.4%
per year. One of the main reasons is the accelerated electrification of energy
systems, because the use of electricity is more efficient than direct burning
of fossil fuels.
(Less heat loss from electricity). The
reduction in operating income of power grid companies will directly affect many
related industries. Electricity is converted from primary energy such as coal,
petroleum, natural gas, nuclear fuel, hydropower, ocean energy, wind energy,
solar energy, and biomass energy into electricity through power generation
facilities, and then supplied to users as energy through power transmission,
transformation, and distribution systems.

电力企业工期受影响。1 月 30 日,国家能源局针对当前疫情印发通知,要求电力企业科学确定复工复产时间节点,及时修订施工作业方案,重新确定合理工期,严禁抢进度、赶工期。疫情导致的延迟复工对电力企业抢装“331”、“630”并网产生了影响。光伏 331 抢装并网难度大,光伏企业业绩受直接影响。部分自动化程度高的能源企业受疫情影响比较低,例如通威太阳能成都基地 A1 智能制造车间有 16 条全封闭的智能制造高效晶硅电池片自动化生产线,
由自动抓取的机械臂、智能运输机器人组成。自动化程度高的企业可以缓解人员复工推迟的问题。但是受疫情影响,物流运输或存在一定困难,对订单交付有影响。

除了湖北,经济发达的浙江和广东用电量会明显减少。目前新型冠状病毒感染肺炎疫情,除了湖北是重灾区外,长三角的浙江、珠三角的广东也是重灾区。截止 2 月 6 日 11 点 24 分,新型冠状病毒感染肺炎的确诊病例 28060 个,
其中湖北 19665 个,浙江 954 个,广东 944 个。广东和浙江是一直是经济发达地区,这些地区的企业复工时间会比较晚,用电量会明显减少。从地区来看我国的电量结构来,2019 年,从比重看,东部、中部、西部和东北地区用电量所占全国比重分别为 47.2%、18.7%、28.3%、5.8%。从贡献率看,各地区用电量增长对全社会用电量增长的贡献率分别为 37.9%、18.8%、38.4%、4.9%。浙江和广东用电量的减少,对于整个国家用电量的减少会有明显的影响。
The construction period of power companies
is affected. On January 30, the National Energy Administration issued a notice
in response to the current epidemic, requiring electric power companies to
scientifically determine the time point for the resumption and resumption of
production, promptly revise the construction operation plan, and re-determine a
reasonable schedule. It is strictly forbidden to rush the schedule and
schedule. The delayed resumption of work caused by the epidemic situation had an
impact on the rush-installation of the "331" and "630"
grid-connected power companies. Photovoltaic 331 is difficult to install and
connect to the grid, and the performance of photovoltaic companies is directly
affected. Some highly automated energy companies are less affected by the
epidemic. For example, Tongwei Solar's Chengdu base A1 intelligent
manufacturing workshop has 16 fully-closed intelligent manufacturing
high-efficiency crystalline silicon cell automated production lines. The
robotic arms and intelligent transportation robots are automatically grasped.
composition. Companies with a high degree of automation can alleviate the delay
in resuming work. However, due to the epidemic situation, there may be some
difficulties in logistics and transportation, which will affect the delivery of
orders.

Except for Hubei, the economically
developed Zhejiang and Guangdong will consume significantly less electricity.
At present, in addition to Hubei being the hardest hit area for COVID-19
infection pneumonia, Zhejiang in the Yangtze River Delta and Guangdong in the
Pearl River Delta is also the hardest-hit areas. As of 11:24 on February 6,
28,060 confirmed cases of pneumonitis caused by the COVID-19,
Among them, 19665 were in Hubei, 954 in
Zhejiang, and 944 in Guangdong. Guangdong and Zhejiang have always been
economically developed regions, and companies in these regions will return to
work later and consume significantly less electricity. Looking at China's
electricity structure from a regional perspective, in 2019, in terms of
proportion, the proportion of electricity consumption in the eastern, central,
western, and northeastern regions accounted for 47.2%, 18.7%, 28.3%, and 5.8%
of the country. From the perspective of contribution rates, the contribution rates
of the growth of power consumption in various regions to the growth of power
consumption of the whole society were 37.9%, 18.8%, 38.4%, and 4.9%,
respectively. The reduction of electricity consumption in Zhejiang and
Guangdong will have a significant impact on the reduction of electricity
consumption in the entire country.

三、能源行业如何应对新冠疫情

不管是和平时期,还是战争年代,能源都受到全世界广泛的关注。世界是一个地球村,抗击新冠病毒需要全世界人民齐心协力共度时艰。能源行业同样如此,
需要全世界行业互助,同时,国家、地区、企业需要采取切实的救助措施,“急则治标,缓则之本”。

3,How the energy
industry responds to the new crown epidemic

Whether in peace or wartime, energy has
received widespread attention worldwide. The world is a global village.
Fighting the new crown virus requires people from all over the world to work
together to cope with the difficulties. The same is true for the energy
industry, which requires mutual assistance from industries around the world. At
the same time, countries, regions, and enterprises need to take effective
rescue measures.

(一)积极构建全球能源互联网
行业是全球性的,新冠疫情对全球能源行业都有重要影响,应对新冠疫情也应该全球能源企业携起手来,共同抗击。我国能源消费量居世界第一,中国能源行业受新型冠状病毒感染肺炎疫情的冲击,对于世界能源行业也会产生明显的影响。据 2018 年《BP 世界能源统计年鉴》,2017 年中国一次能源消费总量为 3132.2百万吨油当量,美国为 2234.9 百万吨油当量,欧盟为 1689 百万吨油当量,位居榜单前三名。印度、俄罗斯分别以 753.7、698.3 百万吨油当量居于第四、五名,
均超过 500 百万吨油当量。人类社会的发展,加强了国家之间、企业之间的互动,
流行病、传染病自然很难只在一个地区一个国家发作,能源行业需要继续建立广泛的合作。中国国家主席习近平 2015 年 9 月 26 日出席在纽约举行的联合国成立70 周年系列峰会,在联合国总部发表演讲时就指出,
中国倡议探讨构建全球能源互联网,推动以清洁和绿色方式满足全球电力的需求。国家电网公司已经在实施“三型两网,世界一流”战略,在积极展开行动。希望国内外其他能源企业也积极参与全球能源互联网的构建,利用新冠疫情这个危机事件,信息共享,相互协作,共同为构建人类命运共同体做贡献。

(I) Actively Building a Global Energy Internet
The industry is global, and the new crown
epidemic has an important impact on the global energy industry. To respond to
the new crown epidemic, global energy companies should join hands and fight
together. China's energy consumption ranks first in the world. The impact of
the COVID-19-infected pneumonia epidemic in China's energy industry will also
have a significant impact on the world's energy industry. According to the BP
World Energy Statistical Yearbook 2018, China's total primary energy consumption
in 2017 was 3132.2 million tons of oil equivalent, the United States was 2234.9
million tons of oil equivalent and the European Union was 1689 million tons of
oil equivalent. Three. India and Russia ranked fourth and fifth with 753.7 and
698.3 million tons of oil equivalent, respectively, both exceeding 500 million
tons of oil equivalent. The development of human society has strengthened the
interaction between countries and enterprises. It is difficult for epidemics
and infectious diseases to occur in only one region and one country. The energy
industry needs to continue to establish extensive cooperation. Chinese
President Xi Jinping attended the 70th Anniversary Summit of the United Nations
in New York on September 26, 2015, and stated at the United Nations
Headquarters that China advocates exploring the establishment of a global
energy Internet and promoting the clean and green way to meet the global power
demand. The State Grid Corporation of China has already implemented the
strategy of "three types and two networks, world-class" and is
actively carrying out actions. It is hoped that other energy companies at home
and abroad will also actively participate in the construction of the global
energy Internet, make use of the crisis event of the new crown epidemic, share
information and cooperate with each other to jointly contribute to the
construction of a community of shared future for mankind.

(二)国家出台扶持政策
能源行业是国家的支柱产业,中国石化、中国石油和国家电网这些能源企业,
是中国营业收入最大的前三家公司,这些能源企业的稳定和发展,将直接影响其他行业的正常与稳定。国务院国资委在考核这些企业的“两利三率”等指标时,
应该根据受影响的程度和时间,降低要求,适度调整指标值。国家能源局已经在针对不同的能源企业、能源项目制定适当的优惠政策。1 月 23 日,国家能源局发布《关于 2020 年风电、光伏发电项目建设有关事项通知(征求意见稿)》,明确 2020 年新建光伏发电项目补贴预算总额度为 15 亿元,其中户用 5 亿元,竞价(包括集中式光伏电站和工商业分布式光伏项目)10 亿元。

(2) National support policies
The energy industry is a national pillar
industry. Energy companies such as Sinopec, PetroChina, and State Grid are the
top three companies with the largest operating income in China. The stability
and development of these energy companies will directly affect the normality
and stability of other industries. The SASAC of the State Council, when
assessing indicators such as "two benefits and three rates" of these
enterprises, should reduce the requirements and appropriately adjust the value
of the indicators according to the extent and time of the impact. The National
Energy Administration has formulated appropriate preferential policies for
different energy companies and energy projects. On January 23, the National
Energy Administration issued the “Notice on Construction of Wind and Photovoltaic
Power Generation Projects in 2020 (Consultation Draft)”, clarifying that the
total subsidy budget for new photovoltaic power generation projects in 2020 was
1.5 billion yuan, of which 500 million were for household use. The bid price
(including centralized photovoltaic power plants and industrial and commercial
distributed photovoltaic projects) is RMB 1 billion.

(三)企业提升组织能力
国家电网、中国石油的正式员工都在 100 万人以上,一些民营能源企业可能只有几十个员工。能源企业,不管规模大小,都直接受到新冠疫情的影响。减少负面影响最根本的行为还是在于如何进行组织变革,提高组织能力,增强竞争优势。对于新型冠状病毒感染肺炎,目前国内外都没有特别有效的治疗药物,目前的治疗主要采取对症和支持治疗,增强人体免疫力。“正气存内,邪不可干”,
自身免疫力强,才会身体健康,抵御种种病毒。企业的正气就是组织能力。应该把疫情、危机作为组织变革的机会,对企业组织结构进行研究,对人力资源、财务、流程、市场、信息化等方面制订出改革方案,然后结合各个时期的工作重点,
有步骤,有计划的加以实施。组织结构的变革可以同人员培训,管理方法的改进同步进行。树立挣工资而不是发工资的理念,不管是国有企业,还是民营企业,
外资企业,都应该大力宣传公司与员工利益一致、共度时艰的理念,并且切实体现在公司制度改进、流程优化等方面上。


 (3)
enterprises to improve organizational capabilities
State Grid and PetroChina have more than 1
million full-time employees and some private energy companies may only have
dozens of employees. Energy companies, regardless of size, are directly
affected by the new crown epidemic. The most fundamental behavior to reduce
negative effects is how to carry out organizational changes, improve
organizational capabilities, and enhance competitive advantage. There is
currently no particularly effective treatment for new-type coronavirus-infected
pneumonia at home and abroad. The current treatment is mainly symptomatic and
supportive to enhance human immunity. "Within the righteousness, evil
can't be done." Only when you have strong immunity can you be healthy and
resistant to viruses. The righteousness of an enterprise is its organizational
ability. The epidemic situation and crisis should be used as an opportunity for
organizational change, research on the organizational structure of the
enterprise, and formulate reform plans for human resources, finance, processes,
markets, informatization, etc., and then combine the work priorities of each
period with steps and plans Implementation. Organizational changes can be
synchronized with personnel training and improvements in management methods.
Establish the concept of earning wages rather than paying them. Whether it is a state-owned enterprise, a private enterprise, or a foreign-funded enterprise,
they should vigorously promote the idea that the company and employees share
the same interests and live together in difficult times, and this should be
reflected in the improvement of the company's system and process optimization
on.



   because our company business is injection molding, energy up , material up

and we don't hope so. lower price for energy is good for the plastic injection molding industry.


2020年3月1日星期日

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) affect Social Education Industry





社会教育产业的疫情影响分析
Analysis of Epidemic Impact of Social
Education Industry

2020 年 2 月 5 日上海市疫情防控工作领导小组新闻发布会宣布:根据疫情发展
情况,为确保学生安全,决定上海市各级各类学校 2 月底前不开学。这是继 1 月
23 日发布各级各类学校延缓至 2 月 17 日开学、各培训机构和托育机构在 2 月底前暂缓开展线下服务的通知之后,又一新的通告。

On February 5, 2020, a press conference of
the Shanghai Municipal Leading Group for Epidemic Prevention and Control
announced: According to the development of the epidemic, in order to ensure the
safety of students, it was decided that all types of schools in Shanghai at all
levels will not open before the end of February. This is another new announcement following the announcement on January 23 that schools of all
levels and various levels were postponed to start on February 17, and that
training institutions and day-care institutions suspend offline services by the
end of February.

那么教育行业到底能支撑多久呢?上海交大行业研究院设计了“社会教育产业的疫情影响力调查问卷”。本次问卷首批收集了 32 份问卷,调研对象为江浙沪地区的社会教育机构/企业,涉及的教育领域有 k12 教育、综合素质教育、儿童早教、兴趣教育、语言学习、出国留学、高等教育、教育信息化、职业培训、其他教育等类型。 
So how long can
the education industry sustain? The Shanghai Jiaotong University-Industry
Research Institute has designed the "Survey Questionnaire of Social
Education Industry Epidemic Impact". The first batch of this questionnaire
collected 32 questionnaires. The survey objects were social education
institutions/enterprises in Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Shanghai. The education
fields involved were k12 education, comprehensive quality education, early
childhood education, interest education, language learning, studying abroad,
higher education. , Education informatization, vocational training, and other
types of education.
       
         在当前疫情严重情况下,线下教育显然难以立即开展。从问卷中可以看出,    
目前有线上课程/业务的教育机构/企业约占 34.4%,但是主要课程和业务全部是
线上的只有 6.25%。而值得一提的是在众多教育机构/企业中,语言学习和综合素质教育的机构/企业已经大量开展了线上教育。
Under the current severe epidemic the situation, it is obviously difficult to launch offline education immediately.
It can be seen from the questionnaire that at present, educational institutions
/ companies that take courses/businesses online account for about 34.4%, but
the main courses and business are all online only 6.25%. It is worth mentioning
that among many educational institutions/enterprises, institutions /
enterprises that have language learning and comprehensive quality education
have launched a large number of online education.

     
社会教育机构是否做好了在线教育的准备呢?问卷显示,28.13%的教育机构
/企业可以在 2 月 17 日正常开工/上课,可以部分开工/上课的有 12.5%,但 59.38%的机构/企业无法正常开工/上课。而在可以开工和可以部分开工的机构里只有三分之一是有在线教育的。
 Are
social education institutions ready for online education? According to the
questionnaire, 28.13% of educational institutions / enterprises can start work
/ classes normally on February 17, and 12.5% can start part-time / classes, but
59.38% of institutions / businesses cannot start / classes. Only one-third of
institutions that can start and can start part-time have online education.
     
那么社会教育机构能否支撑过第一季度,并有足够的资金开展在线教育呢?
多数社会教育机构/企业在 1 月就有预收款,且教育产业 2 月一般处于淡季,所以疫情对第一季度影响在可控范围内。目前问卷中填写因资金链、现金流问题而不能开工小于 1%。根据 2020 新冠疫情教育行业企事业单位调查问卷显示,各大社会教育机构/企业第一季度的生存损失偏小,35%的教育机构/企业预计第一季度营收下降幅度在 10%-50%,40%的教育机构/企业预计第一季度营损失小于 10%,只有 25%认为第一季度的营收损失大于 50%。虽然第一季度现金流比较充裕,但教育机构/企业还是倍感压力。5 分为最高分,1 分为最低分,教育机构/企业压力感最大的是员工安全 3.8 分和获取新的订单 3.8 分,其次是现金流 3.4 分、支付员工工资 3.35 分、交付能力 2.75 分、还贷 2.6 分、违约金 2.4 分、物流运输
2.4 分。让教育机构/企业倍感压力的还有网上直播课技能、事业发展等方面。现金流依然是社会教育机构开展在线教育的瓶颈 .
So, can social education institutions
support the first quarter and have sufficient funds for online education? Most
social education institutions/enterprises have advance receipts in January,
and the education industry is generally in the off-season in February, so the
impact of the epidemic on the first quarter is under control. At present, the
questionnaire indicates that it is impossible to start less than 1% due to the problem of capital chain and cash flow. According to the 2020 New Crown
epidemic, the education industry enterprises and institutions survey the questionnaire shows that the major social education institutions/enterprises
have a small survival loss in the first quarter, and 35% of educational institutions/enterprises expect that the first-quarter revenue decline will be 10% -50%
Forty percent of educational institutions/enterprises expect to lose less
than 10% in the first quarter, and only 25% believe that the loss in the first quarter is greater than 50%. Although cash flow was relatively abundant in the
first quarter, educational institutions/enterprises were still under
pressure. 5 points for the highest point, 1 point for the lowest point. The
most stressful of educational institutions/companies is 3.8 points for
employee safety and 3.8 points for acquiring new orders, followed by cash flow
3.4 points, employee salary 3.35 points, and delivery capacity 2.75 points 2.6
points for repayment, 2.4 points for liquidated damages, logistics and transportation
2.4 points. Education institutions /
businesses are also under pressure from online live lesson skills and career
development. Cash flow remains a bottleneck for online education in social
education institutions.

        目前只有 10%的教育机构/企业对开工日期并不敏感;25%的教育机构/企业最多能承受延迟开工
1-2
个月,35%的教育机构/企业最多能承受延迟开工 2-4 个
周;30%的企业迫切希望能在 2 周内开工。
经历此次疫情,教育机构/企业想到
的补救措施,排名第一的就是增加线上教学,后面依次是远程办公、创新产品服
务、申请贷款补贴纾困资金等、促销营销、降薪裁员、没有措施、退出忍痛止损。
 Currently
only 10% of educational institutions/enterprises are not sensitive to the
start date; 25% of educational institutions/enterprises can afford a delayed
start of up to 1-2 months, and 35% of educational institutions/enterprises
can afford a delayed start of up to 2-4 Week; 30% of companies are eager to
start work in 2 weeks. After the epidemic, the number one remedy that
educational institutions/companies think of is to increase online teaching,
followed by telecommuting, innovative products, and services, applying for a loan
subsidies, bailout funds, etc., promotion marketing, salary cuts, layoffs,
Measures, withdraw from pain and stop loss.
   疫情之后,各教育机构/企业势必加大在线产品和服务的投入,但由于教育信息化和在线教育投入相对比较大,前期投入和投入产出比仍需要教育企业/机构认真研究和斟酌。此时提供教育平台的机构如果能提供高性价比产品/服务将逆势而上。行业研究院下一阶段将继续重点关注社会教育产业的发展,特别是教育信息化和在线教育的发展。
After the epidemic, educational
institutions/enterprises are bound to increase investment in online products
and services. However, due to the relatively large investment in education
informatization and online education, the initial input and input-output ratio
still need to be carefully studied and considered by educational companies /
institutions. At this time, the institutions that provide education platforms
will be able to buck the trend if they can provide cost-effective products /
services. The next phase of the industry research institute will continue to
focus on the development of the social education industry, especially the
development of education informatization and online education.

china mold maker also have child, have family
I focus on COVID-19 affect social education industry in shanghai China

2020年2月29日星期六

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) affect Chinese manufacturing industr...





新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情对装备制造行业的影响与对策

Impact of COVID-19 pneumonia on equipment
manufacturing industry and countermeasures
这一场席卷全国、蔓延世界的肺炎疫情,对我国的许多行业都产生了明显的影响,有些行业的影响还相当直接、相当剧烈,比如:旅游、餐饮等服务业。装
备制造企业,自然也无法置身度外,必然受到这一场大疫情的负面影响。

The impact and countermeasures of the COVID-19
pneumonia epidemic on the equipment manufacturing industry pneumonia an epidemic that has swept the country and spread the world has had a significant
impact on many industries in China and the impact of some industries is quite
direct and severe, such as Tourism, catering and other services. Equipment
manufacturing companies, of course, cannot stay out of the bounds, and will
inevitably be negatively affected by this epidemic.

一、疫情对装备制造企业的不利影响
这种影响将从多个方面表现出来,主要有:
第一,  
生产无法正常复工,影响生成进度。对于绝大部分装备制造企业来说,
生成活动都是集中在企业的生产基地完成的。这一场传染性很强的疫情,让大量人员集中进行生产活动变得风险很大、不宜实施。正常的生产进度,很容易受到影响。
I. The
adverse effects of the epidemic on equipment manufacturing enterprises
This impact will manifest itself in many ways, including:
First, production cannot resume normally, which affects the
production schedule. For most equipment manufacturing enterprises, the
generation activities are completed in the company's production base. This
highly contagious epidemic made a large number of people to concentrate their
production activities very risky and inappropriate to implement. The normal
production schedule is easily affected.

第二,  
产品无法按原计划交付,影响客户收到和使用产品。产品无法按原计划生产,向客户的交货自然也将受到影响。虽然客户能够理解,但毕竟会影响客户的生产、经营活动。
Second, the product cannot be
delivered as originally planned, affecting customers' receipt and use of the
product. Products cannot be produced as originally planned, and delivery to
customers will naturally be affected. Although the customer can understand it,
after all, it will affect the customer's the production and business activities.

第三,  
售后服务与支持无法按时、及时开展,影响客户的经营活动。装备行业的产品,大多需要可靠的售后服务。疫情影响售后服务人员的复工与现场维护活动的开展,一旦客户在使用中的设备出现故障,售后服务人员无法如常地排除故障,就会影响客户企业生产活动的正常开展。比如,生产抗“疫”物资(口罩、防护服等)的生产设备如果此时出现故障,维修人员因为疫情的影响又无法及时排除故障的话,不但会影响该企业的生产,还会进一步影响“疫”物资的及时供应。
Third, after-sales service and support cannot be carried
out on time and in time, which affects customers' business activities. Most
products in the equipment industry require reliable after-sales service. The epidemic situation affects the resumption of after-sales service personnel and
the development of on-site maintenance activities. Once the customer's
equipment in use fails, the after-sales service personnel cannot troubleshoot
the failure as usual, which will affect the normal development of the
customer's production activities. For example, if the production equipment that
produces anti-epidemic materials (masks, protective clothing, etc.) fails at
this time and maintenance personnel cannot timely troubleshoot due to the
impact of the epidemic, it will not only affect the production of the enterprise,
but also further affect the " Timely supply of the disease.

第四,  
营销与销售活动无法开展,影响企业的订单和后续的经营活动。受疫情的影响,装备制造企业的营销与销售人员无法正常地复工、开展营销工作,产品销售、新的订单就会受到影响。等疫情结束、生产员工完全复工以后,订单的缺乏,会进一步影响企业的生产。特别是,许多装备制造企业的客户是来自全球各地,其他国家的同行竞争企业可能利用中国企业受疫情的影响,抢走中国企业的订单。
Fourth, marketing and sales activities cannot be carried
out, affecting the company's orders and subsequent business activities.
Affected by the epidemic situation, the marketing and sales personnel of
equipment manufacturing enterprises cannot resume work normally and carry out
marketing work, and product sales and new orders will be affected. After the
epidemic is over and production workers are fully resumed, the lack of orders
will further affect the production of enterprises. In particular, many
equipment manufacturing companies have customers from all over the world. Peer
competitors in other countries may use Chinese companies to be affected by the
epidemic and steal orders from Chinese companies.

二、短期和长期的应对策略
面对疫情带来不利影响和挑战,装备制造企业应该从短期、长期两个角度来加以应对:
短期对策:全面采用基于互联网技术的远程办公、工作协同、业务管控的平
台,对企业办公和工作协同进行全方位升级。
Short-term and long-term coping strategies
Facing the adverse impacts and challenges
brought by the epidemic situation, equipment manufacturing enterprises should
respond from two perspectives: short-term and long-term: short-term
countermeasures: the full use of Internet-based remote office, work
collaboration, and business management and control platforms for business and
work Collaborate for comprehensive upgrades.

我国的许多装备制造企业在这方面有很大的提升空间,特别是与全球性的公司相比。
我国装备制造行业的许多企业,都还是单一中心的企业,双中心的不多,多中心的更少。这种单一中心为主的结构,使得企业采用远程办公、多地协同的工具和机制的动力不足。在目前这样的大疫情下,员工无法集中起来,许多工作就难以开展。
虽然这样的疫情多年才遇一次,而且我们坚信不会太久就会被有效地控制。但是,在装备制造企业日益走向全球以后,在全世界范围内,各种自然灾害、疫情、重大事故、动乱、局部战争等,综合起来,就不是偶发事件了。
Many equipment manufacturing companies in
China have a lot of room for improvement in this regard, especially compared
with global companies.
Many enterprises in China's equipment
manufacturing industry are still single-centered enterprises. There are not
many dual-centered enterprises and many multi-centered enterprises. This
single-centered structure makes enterprises lack the motivation to adopt remote
working and multi-site collaboration tools and mechanisms. In the current
epidemic, employees cannot concentrate and many tasks are difficult to carry
out. Although such an epidemic has only happened once in many years, and we
firmly believe that it will not be long before it will be effectively
controlled. However, after the equipment manufacturing enterprises are
increasingly going global, various natural disasters, epidemics, major
accidents, turbulence, and local wars are not incidental.

因此,我国的装备制造企业在这一次大疫情的影响下,应该全方位地升级企业的办公、协同和业务管控系统,使得员工的工作尽可能地不受制于空间和时间,
尽可能做到随时随地都能工作;只要有互联网,就能多地、远程地进行沟通和协同。
进一步地,企业升级的这种系统,最好不使用完全个性化开发的系统,而是比较通用的系统。这样的话,不但能进行企业内部的沟通和协调,而且能与客户、供应商、渠道商等商业伙伴的相应系统进行授权条件下的联结,解决企业的销售、服务、供应、物流等一系列外部的沟通和协同。
Therefore, under the influence of this the epidemic, China's equipment manufacturing enterprises should comprehensively
upgrade their office, collaboration, and business management and control systems,
so that employees' work is not restricted by space and time as much as
possible, Work anywhere; as long as you have the Internet, you can communicate
and collaborate multiple and remotely.
Further, such a system upgraded by an
enterprise is better not to use a completely personalized development system,
but a more general system. In this way, not only can the company communicate
and coordinate internally, but also it can connect with the corresponding
systems of customers, suppliers, channel providers, and other business partners
under authorized conditions, and solve a series of external sales, service,
supply, logistics and other external issues. Communication and collaboration.

再者,这样的系统,将来还能增加员工的工作在时间、空间等方面的自由度,
提高员工的满意度和工作效率。长期对策:大力发展和运用工业互联网技术,打造资源优化平台和资源配置平台,加快装备制造企业的数字化、智能化转型。
In addition, such a system can increase the
freedom of employees in terms of time and space, and increase employee
satisfaction and work efficiency in the future. Long-term countermeasures:
vigorously develop and apply industrial Internet technologies, create a resource
optimization platforms and resource allocation platforms, and accelerate the
digital and intelligent transformation of equipment manufacturing enterprises.

升级办公与协同系统,能解决非生产一线员工的异地办公、及时协同问题,
也能一定程度上解决与商业伙伴的沟通和交流问题,但仍不能解决企业内部多部门、多部分之间的业务协同和资源优化配置,更无法解决装备制造企业与其商业伙伴之间的深度业务协同问题。
为了比较全面地解决这些问题,工业互联网提供了一条康庄大道!
Upgrading the office and collaboration the system can solve the problem of off-site office and timely collaboration of
non-production front-line employees, and can also solve the problem of
communication and exchange with business partners to a certain extent.
Coordination and optimized resource allocation cannot solve the problem of deep
business collaboration between equipment manufacturing companies and their
business partners.
In order to solve these problems more
comprehensively, the Industrial Internet provides a road to health!

借助和采用工业互联网的技术,通过对装备制造企业的数字化、智能化改造,
能极大地改进企业内部各部门、部分之间协同的柔性和灵活性,也能大幅度地提升装备制造企业与商业伙伴(特别是客户、供应商)之间的业务协同、支持和配合。
By using and adopting the technology of the
Industrial Internet, through the digital and intelligent transformation of
equipment manufacturing enterprises, it can greatly improve the flexibility and the flexibility of collaboration between various departments and parts within the
enterprise, and can greatly improve equipment manufacturing enterprises and Business collaboration, support and coordination between partners
(especially customers, suppliers).

第一,在装备制造企业内部,运用工业互联网技术能打造资源优化平台。在
该平台上,能在设备资产的管理和运营方面,利用大数据、人工智能等技术及行
业经验对设备运行状态与性能状况进行智能分析,为生产与决策提供相应的智能
化服务。这样,企业内部的生产、经营活动,能极大地摆脱对员工等资源的时间、
空间的依赖。
First, within equipment manufacturing
enterprises, the use of industrial Internet technology can create a resource
optimization platform. On this platform, in the management and operation of
equipment assets, big data, artificial intelligence, and other technologies and
industry experience can be used to intelligently analyze the operating status
and performance of equipment, and provide corresponding intelligent services
for production and decision-making. In this way, the production and management
activities within the enterprise can greatly get rid of the time and space
dependence on resources such as employees.

同时,这种系统的后台都在云端,因此,也不会对所部署的物理位置产生依赖,具有极大的可靠性、灵活性。在这方面,GE Predix、ABB Ability、西门子 MindSphere、施耐德电气EcoStruxure 等领先的跨国公司已经有了领先的实践;国内的精英企业,三一集团根数互联、徐工集团 Xrea、研华科技 WISE-PaaS、汇川技术工业互联平台,也开始为众多装备制造企业树立榜样!
At the same time, the background of this system is in the cloud, so it will not depend on the physical location
deployed, and has great reliability and flexibility. In this regard, leading
multinational companies such as GE Predix, ABB Ability, Siemens MindSphere, and
Schneider Electric EcoStruxure already have leading practices; domestic elite
companies, Sany Group Interconnect, XCMG Group Xara, Advantech WISE-PaaS,
Huichuan Technology Industrial Interconnection Platform has also started to set
an example of many equipment manufacturing enterprises!

第二,在装备制造企业与商业伙伴企业之间的深度联结方面,运用工业互联
网技术能打造资源配置平台。该平台主要体现在要素资源的组织与调度方面,优化企业的资源管理、业务流程、生产过程、供应链管理等环节,实现装备制造企
业与外部用户需求、创新资源以及生产能力的对接,有效促进产能优化以及区域协同。
资源配置平台代表企业及平台有:海尔 COSMOPlat、智能云科 iSESOL、美的MeiCloud、航天云网 INDICES 等。
Second, in terms of the deep connection
between equipment manufacturing companies and business partner companies, the
use of Industrial Internet technology can create a resource allocation
platform. The platform is mainly reflected in the organization and scheduling
of factor resources, optimizing the enterprise's resource management, business
processes, production processes, supply chain management and other links, to
achieve the docking of equipment manufacturing enterprises with external user
needs, innovative resources, and production capacity, effectively promoting
Capacity optimization and regional coordination.
The resource allocation platform represents
enterprises and platforms: Haier COSMOPlat, Intelligent Cloud Science iSESOL,
Midea MeiCloud, Aerospace Cloud Network INDICES, etc.

基于工业互联网技术建立这样的系统以后,我国的装备制造企业就能基本上实现数字化、智能化转型!
转型以后,企业的生产、经营活动能极大地降低对单个员工的依赖,更不用说对其工作时间、地点的依赖;也能显著地深化装备制造企业与其商业伙伴之间的业务联结性、协同性,彼此之间的合作不会轻易受到局部疫情、事故的影响,
彼此之间的业务能进行灵活的调节,更不会因为某些员工受制于时间、空间,而影响彼此的协作。
After establishing such a system based on
Industrial Internet technology, China's equipment manufacturing enterprises can
basically, realize digital and intelligent transformation! After the
transformation, the company's production, and operation activities can greatly
reduce its dependence on individual employees, let alone its working hours and
locations; it can also significantly deepen business connectivity and
collaboration between equipment manufacturing companies and their business
partners The cooperation between each other will not be easily affected by
local epidemics and accidents, and the business between each other can be
flexibly adjusted, and some employees will not be affected by time and space,
which will affect their cooperation.

综上,这一场肺炎疫情对许多行业的企业都将产生明显的影响,装备制造企业也无法幸免。相关的企业,既不要认为这是极其偶然的事件而不思进去,也不要过于悲观而觉得无从应对。我们建议这些企业在认真思考以后,采取如下的策略:短期,全面采用基于互联网技术的远程办公、工作协同、业务管控的工具,
对企业办公和工作协同进行全方位升级;长期,大力发展和运用工业互联网技术,
打造资源优化平台和资源配置平台,加快装备制造企业的数字化、智能化转型。
这样,我国的装备制造企业在全球化经营以后,也能从容地应对各种突发事

In summary, this outbreak of pneumonia will
have a significant impact on companies in many industries, and equipment
manufacturing companies will not be spared. Related companies should neither
consider this as an extremely accidental event without thinking about it, nor
be too pessimistic and feel unable to cope. We suggest that after serious
thinking, these companies adopt the following strategies: short-term,
full-scale use of Internet-based remote office, work collaboration, and
business management and control tools to comprehensively upgrade corporate
office and work collaboration; long-term, vigorous development and application
Industrial Internet technology, to create a resource optimization platform and
resource allocation platform, and accelerate the digital and intelligent
transformation of equipment manufacturing enterprises.
In this way, after the global operation of China's
equipment manufacturing enterprises, they can calmly respond to various
emergencies

2020年2月28日星期五

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic on the pension industry in ...





Impact of COVID-19 pneumonia on the pension
industry and related suggestions


The sudden outbreak of COVID-19 pneumonia
swept the country, which has greatly affected all walks of life, and the impact
on the pension industry is unique. Pension is a typical labor-intensive
industry, and many links in this industry are rigid demand throughout the year.
Old people and so on. Due to the special reasons of the new crown pneumonia
epidemic, the vast majority of the elderly were isolated in nursing homes.
Therefore, in this ultra-Changchun holiday, when many industries are anxious
due to shutdowns, the pension industry has experienced another kind of
suffering.
First, the biggest difficulty is the
extreme shortage of elderly care workers. Most of the nursing staff in the city
came from rural areas or other places. Since the public did not pay much
attention to the new crown virus pneumonia epidemic until January 23 (the lunar
month 29th), most of the nursing staff have returned home. New year. Due to the
evolution of the epidemic, the planned seven-day holiday was not only extended,
but also quarantined for a period of time after return. For example, if
Shanghai extends the Spring Festival holiday to February 9, and it is required that
people from or passing through Hubei and other key areas to Shanghai and
Shanghai come to Shanghai for strict isolation or centralized isolation and
observation for 14 days, there is no abnormal situation Only after the expiry
can work normally. Many other cities have basically similar regulations. This
means that caregivers can leave their jobs for more than a month. According to
this research team's online survey of senior care institutions such as Shanghai
Red Sun, Qinheyuan, and Vanke Suiyuan in Hangzhou, since most of the front-line
caregivers and middle managers are blocked in the field, the core management of
these senior care institutions all enter the entire holiday. The front-line
processing of various affairs, usually only three to four hours of rest a day,
is in a high-load work state, currently still struggling to support.

其次,疫情期间家人无法探视,老人心理比较脆弱,增加了照护难度。适逢
春节,以往许多住在养老机构的老人会被接回家过年,起码有家人来探视。而今年封院后,老人见不到家人,闹情绪或心理不适者大大增加。由于老人看不到外面疫情的严峻形势,信息相对又不太灵敏,护理人员需要极大的耐心,花费大量的精力向他们解释并安抚他们。有些家属对封院措施也不太配合,所有这些都大大增加了工作强度。

Second, family members cannot visit during
the epidemic, and the elderly are more fragile, making it difficult to care for
them. Coinciding with the Spring Festival, many old people living in old-age
care institutions were taken home for Chinese New Year, at least with family
members to visit. After the hospital was closed this year, the elderly could
not see their families, and the number of people with emotional or
psychological discomfort increased greatly. Because the elderly can't see the
severe situation of the epidemic outside, and the information is relatively
insensitive, the nursing staff need great patience and spend a lot of energy to
explain and comfort them. Some family members did not cooperate well with the
closure measures, all of which greatly increased the intensity of work.

第三,老人属易感人群,抵抗能力差,疫情期间需要更加严格的防控措施,
增加了运营成本。本次疫情发生后,各养老机构高度重视,高价采购口罩、消毒剂、手套等,并加大公共卫生清洁的力度,这些都大大增加了运营成本。部分机
构反映,其日常医用消耗品的支出是以往的接近十倍,日常餐饮成本也增加较多。即便如此,由于非常时期防疫用品紧缺,到处求购亦难解决,相关人员身心俱疲。

Third, the elderly are susceptible and have
poor resistance. More stringent control measures are needed during the
epidemic, which increases operating costs. After the outbreak, all elderly care
institutions attach great importance to purchasing masks, disinfectants,
gloves, etc. at high prices, and increasing public health cleaning, which have
greatly increased operating costs. Some institutions report that their daily
medical consumables are nearly ten times more expensive than in the past, and
daily catering costs have increased significantly. Even so, due to the scarcity
of epidemic prevention supplies during the extraordinary period, it is
difficult to solve the problem of buying everywhere, and the relevant personnel
are physically and mentally exhausted.

第四,养老行业属于微利行业,上述几点共同加剧了疫情期间全行业的运营
成本。因此,与大多数行业疫情期间停业困境不同,该行业在艰难的运营中也将受到财务收支状况恶化的严峻考验。
不过,这次疫情也显示出机构养老的优势,并凸显养老行业发展的巨大空间。由于传染病对老年人有更大的伤害,一旦遇到疫情,就会对居家养老产生强烈冲击。相比之下,疫情期间大部分养老机构采取了全封闭管理,不与外界接触,有
专业的医护人员,日常消杀和风险防控都比较充分,相比居家养老的老人能得到更好的保护。     Fourth, the pension
industry is a low-profit industry, and the above points have intensified the
entire industry's operating costs during the epidemic. As a result, unlike most
industry shutdowns during the epidemic, the industry will also be severely
tested by the deteriorating financial revenues and expenditures in difficult
operations.
However, this outbreak also shows the
advantages of institutional pensions and highlights the huge space for the
development of the pension industry. Because infectious diseases are more
harmful to the elderly, once they encounter an epidemic, they will have a
strong impact on home care. In contrast, during the epidemic period, most
old-age care institutions adopted closed management without contact with the
outside world.
Professional medical and nursing personnel
have adequate daily killing and risk prevention and control, and can be better
protected than elderly people living at home.

基于以上情况,我们有如下建议:    
第一,努力保证养老机构对医疗资源的需求。养老机构对于医疗资源的需求位列医院之后第二位,这一点往往被很多人忽视。疫情期间,民政部门可根据日常入住老人数量的分析充分掌握各机构物资需求,同时要求每家养老机构统计物资情况,根据实际情况组织资源调配予以支持,而不是让各个机构到市场上去抢购。
Based on the above, we have the following
suggestions:
First, strive to ensure the demand for
medical resources in the elderly institutions. The demand for medical resources
of the elderly care institutions ranks second after the hospital, which is
often overlooked by many people. During the epidemic, the civil affairs
department can fully grasp the material needs of each institution based on the
analysis of the number of elderly people living daily. At the same time, each elderly
care institution is required to count the material situation and organize the
allocation of resources to support it, rather than letting each institution go
to the market to buy.

第二,针对养老行业受疫情冲击的特殊情况,制定专门扶持措施。除了国家和各地近期出台的税收减免、租金减免等措施外,对养老机构要额外增加非常时期的财政补贴,确保养老机构不因疫情冲击而倒闭,避免这个特殊行业留下后遗症。因为这个后遗症一旦形成会进一步影响全社会——养老机构倒闭后老人的安置将非常困难,对涉及到的家庭都将产生较大影响。具体可对日常医疗易耗品的高价部分提供补贴,其标准可根据入住老人的数量、工作人员的数量测算,亦可养老机构的对水电气费用适当补贴。

Second, in response to the special
situation of the pension industry affected by the epidemic situation, develop
special support measures. In addition to the tax and rent reductions recently
introduced by the state and other regions, extra-period financial subsidies
should be added to pension institutions to ensure that pension institutions do
not fail due to the impact of the epidemic and to avoid the aftermath of this
particular industry. Because once this sequelae is formed, it will further
affect the whole society-the resettlement of the elderly after the retirement
of the elderly institution will be very difficult, and it will have a greater
impact on the families involved. Specifically, it can provide subsidies for the
high-priced parts of daily medical consumables. The standard can be calculated
according to the number of elderly people living and the number of staff, and
it can also provide appropriate subsidies for water and electricity expenses in
the elderly.

第三,对疫情期间坚持长期工作的养老行业员工进行心理干预。疫情期间超负荷工作多日的养老服务人员基本上处于应激状态,疫情期间及过后,心理问题可能随时爆发,不仅对个人和家庭,也会对整个养老行业带来难以预期的后果。建议医疗卫生部门、志愿者及时介入养老机构的心理干预。目前部分心理干预已经介入疫期的医疗卫生人员,但尚未见到对养老机构的介入,需要引起重视。

Third, psychological intervention should be
provided to employees in the pension industry who insist on long-term work
during the epidemic. During the epidemic, elderly service workers who have been
overloaded for many days are basically in a state of stress. During and after
the epidemic, psychological problems may erupt at any time, which will bring
unpredictable consequences not only to individuals and families, but also to
the entire pension industry. It is recommended that medical and health
departments and volunteers intervene in the psychological intervention of the
nursing home in a timely manner. At present, some psychological interventions
have already involved medical staff in the epidemic period, but they have not
seen any intervention in the elderly care institutions, which needs attention.

第四,从长期看,养老行业需要一个极端时期的预案。从国家到地方,现有
的大量预案都是按灾害事故的领域制定的,而养老行业极其特殊,需要专门的预案。国家和各级地方政府应针对养老机构制定重大公共卫生事件(如传染病)的专门预案,在测、报、防、抗、救、援六个环节有系统的应对方案。而每一家养老机构都应当建立或完善应急小组制度,设立相应的负责人分别负责员工安置与防疫、紧急上报、物资分配、资金调度,同时建立第二梯队负责人制度等。另外,
还要不定期组织养老机构针对应急预案的演习、培训,加强风险防控意识,且高效传导到企业末端的每一名员工。

 Fourth,
in the long run, the pension industry needs a plan for an extreme period. From
state to local, a large number of existing plans are formulated according to
the field of disaster accidents, and the pension industry is extremely special
and requires special plans. The state and local governments at all levels
should formulate special plans for major public health events (such as
infectious diseases) for the elderly institutions, and have a systematic
response plan in the six links of measurement, reporting, prevention,
resistance, rescue and assistance. And each old-age care institution should
establish or improve the emergency team system, set up the corresponding person
in charge of staff resettlement and epidemic prevention, emergency reporting,
material allocation, fund dispatch, and establish a second echelon person
system. In addition, it is necessary to organize drills and trainings for the
emergency plan for the emergency plan from time to time, strengthen the
awareness of risk prevention and control, and conduct them efficiently to every
employee at the end of the enterprise.

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