2012年7月30日星期一

chinese manufacturing down cause more problem happen in coming future

House prices suddenly up again, because everyone fears that the inflation that a few corners will be washed completely.
This big bubble in the real estate if you do not control, that is a nightmare of a real manufacturing
Referenced below under the chopper, Mr. Data, the housing bubble to end all the profits of the manufacturing industry and to promote the economic manufacturing area of ​​bankruptcy, because housing prices will inevitably lead to currency depreciation, currency devaluation conduction to manufacturing on First exchange rate losses, because housing prices, currency instability leads to the central bank's monetary policy loose when tight, while manufacturing investment earnings cycle longer need to monetary policy relative stability in order to develop enterprise scale, while real estate is precisely the shorter cycle of the industry, once The bubbles float to the surface, the central bank must first stabilize the property market will lead to a lot of the manufacturing industry can not cope with the changes in monetary policy. Play a simple example, the the ZTE huge loss, in the first half of 2012, more than half of the losses from exchange rate. Second, many small and medium manufacturing industry is subject to rising production costs and labor costs, but had to bankruptcy, which means that housing prices brought about by the effect of inflation, because the housing bubble will lead to hyperinflation.
Bubble will inevitably bring about a surplus of crisis. Property determines capital flows, where there was money to go out into where to run, once the real estate under the government of misleading will result in huge financial adsorption capacity, leading to the full surplus of real estate-related industries. For example, the float to the surface of the steel, the Chinese real estate bubble, the international iron ore prices from $ 46 a ton quickly jump $ 180 a ton, as of the end of June 2012, China imported iron ore port stocks reached 96.81 million tons, qoq 96 million tons, an increase of 1% compared with last year, an increase of 3.64 million tons, an increase of 3.9%. Now, domestic iron ore prices remain high, while the imports of iron ore has fallen below $ 130. Sources said that the U.S. manufacturing sector has been withdrawn from countries like China, Brazil, Mexico native had 39 percent, expected next year will withdraw 60% of the time, U.S. domestic demand for steel rose to reduce costs, the dollar will also suppress the price of iron ore can dip to $ 46, many of our imports of iron ore is stored in the $ 160, our mining costs have simply stuck atop a high, that the steel prices in the international will be unable to compete and the United States. Other related industries is probably the case, are full of excess, but the costs are high.
The high debt bubble fueled by urban households, a comprehensive curb the spending power of most consumer dynamic groups, increasing the energy of the curb the expansion of consumption. Not long ago, I microblogging and friends to discuss the mortgage the proportion of total household income, said that the most appropriate ratio is 30%, if the vast majority of mortgage family mortgage ratio of 50%, the country's economy is unhealthy, more than 60% There is no doubt that an economic crisis. Did not expect that the vast majority of users are over 60%, one user said his family more than 90%, usually not enough money and use it to find old couple, old couple unable to find a woman old couple, barely hang on until now, but money increasingly Nanzhuan, together with prices rising, the money is more valuable vegetable prices slightly stabilized, and now rice up, I really do not know how?
The Great Depression is doomed, the money Nanzhuan, the unemployment rate will be higher and higher. Because China does not have a few decent manufacturing, China's economy will be increasingly difficult.

My side has begun to run into better company layoff and then re looking for a job, it would be a relatively long period of time, because they are not just graduated
Students, families, and young children, household spending, education, industrialization, industrialization of health care, so that a few years ago can not see, like weakness in the manufacturing sector
Suddenly burst out in the state, a large number of white-collar workers because of age and salary issues can no longer find their previous posts, with the shrinking manufacturing sector
More people will join the team, which is the new 40, 50, who we soon will see, but compared to the original 40, 50, who, apparently, these 40, 50, of hardship ability
Is not enough, now the values ​​of money first, a lot of family issues will rise to social problems. Not to say that Chinese people do not hatred of the rich do? It is of economic buoyancy,
Why are the Greeks so hatred of the rich!

Of course, this is my personal opinion, but I believe in the next five years will see this issue, and will become increasingly serious in the bad state of the external economic
China's only chance of shrinking the real estate bubble, but now see little chance that manufacturing winter quickly.

Molds and plastic products manufacturing companies as a foreign trade, Enhancing soft power was able to spend this winter
After all, stall, good turn around, Oh.
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2012年7月14日星期六

china house market is a form

Chinese family's total net assets over the United States is a terrible foam - china mould company The real driving force behind the still highly suppressed in real estate.The central bank data, as of September 2010 (M2) reached 69.64 trillion yuan, about 5.5 times that of a decade ago. This means that if your wealth does not reach 5.5 times that of a decade ago, then you are in China already "poorer". Interestingly, keep up the beat, Beijing and other major cities, housing prices rose. M2 has exceeded 90 trillion yuan - more than the GDP more than twice, while house prices around to face the most severe macro-control policies, actually continues to rise. Some people even claim that the Beijing Fourth Ring prices and within two years exceeded 100,000 yuan per square meter.This means that as long as these invest in real estate in big cities, you must be at least a net worth of millions or even tens of millions of millionaires, even though real life nothing to improve the quality of the savings of the hands of the pitiful.Thus, the family assets is beyond the United States rely on the bubble of paper wealth, like the establishment of the kingdom in the sand, and reality.European debt crisis, the U.S. financial crisis, the problems are real estateAccording to income ratio of view, the bubble of our real estate crisis, when broken to see the wisdom of our country. china moulding maker trust it will be broken.