2020年10月19日星期一

Treasury bonds sold

 

Something's wrong! China sold $15.7 billion in U.S. debt in three months, and Japan sold $14.6 billion in one month... Three major creditors collective reduction, what signal?

After three consecutive months of buying, overseas investors began to sell off again. In august alone, japan, china and britain, the top three foreign holders of u.s. debt, sold $24.8 billion.
In the top three U.S. debt holders, China has sold U.S. debt for three consecutive months, totaling $15.7 billion; Britain has reduced its holdings by $26 billion in three months; and Japan, the largest lender, sold $14.6 billion in August alone...
China sold $15.7 billion in U.S. debt for three consecutive months
Foreign investors held $7.083 trillion in U.S. debt in August, down from a record high of $7.097 trillion in July, according to recent Treasury data.
 China, the second-largest creditor, sold $5.4 billion in U.S. debt in August, down to $1.068 trillion. This has been China's three consecutive months of reducing U.S. debt, including June reduction of $9.3 billion, July small reduction of $1 billion.
 Although China remains the second largest creditor in the United States after the reduction, its position of $1.068 trillion has reached a new low since March 2017.
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This year, In January, February and May, China increased its US debt holdings by $8.7 billion, In March and April, they reduced their holdings by $10.7 billion and $8.8 billion respectively.
While reducing U.S. debt, China has increased its investment in Japanese government bonds. Between June and August, China bought 2.2 trillion yen (139.9 billion yuan) of Japanese government bonds, a record quarterly purchase of Japanese bonds, according to the Ministry of Finance.
Countries are selling American debt
As the largest creditor in the United States, Japan reduced its $14.6 billion debt to $1.278 trillion in August, and remained the largest creditor in the United States. That month, the country held 6.3 percent of total U.S. debt, holding a low proportion of innovation.
In July, Japan held a sharp increase of $31.5 billion, a record high of $1.293 trillion. Japan surpassed China as the largest creditor to the United States in June last year and remains so far.
In August, the UK reduced its holdings of US debt by $4.8 billion to $419.9 billion, and its position remains the third largest holder of US debt.
This is the third consecutive month in the UK reduction, including a sharp reduction of $21 billion in July and a small reduction of $200 million in June. The UK increased its holdings by $22.3 billion in May last year, surpassing Brazil as the third largest holder of US debt. .
In addition, in August, Brazil, Canada, Thailand, the Netherlands, Israel, Australia, Spain, Sweden and other countries have reduced their U.S. debt to varying degrees. However, some countries have increased their US debt, including Ireland, Switzerland, Belgium, India, Singapore and France.
The U.S. fiscal deficit is record, and dollar assets are less attractive
 CNmoulding comments: now including our plastic injection molding industry, a large number of export industries still rely on dollars for settlement. If the dollar has really been indiscriminate, international settlement with yen, euro instead of the dollar will happen soon.



Trump polls close again 2016 signs are not obvious

 Among the many polls in 2016, only two made Trump's reversal of the leading poll on the last day IBD/TIPP 18 the latest poll, showing Trump's overall poll rally in the week of 10/12-17, only five points behind Biden. However, IBD/TIPP, comparing the data from four years ago, believes that with only 14 days left in the election, there is no clear sign of Trump's defeat.

 


IBD/TIPP is the Investor's Business Daily investor business daily and its subsidiary, which do weekly rolling surveys to track the u.s. election. And because their starting point is from the perspective of American investors, some of their findings are slightly different from those of mainstream opinion polls. As they do, the overall national polling gap is much smaller than CNN and other institutions do. And they made Trump's slightly leading survey in the last few days of 2016, although not the same as Hillary Clinton's final 2% universal suffrage, at least their survey may be more observable in observing Republican supporters, such as Trump's vote, than in other polls. The rolling survey is the best source of information to observe the trend of change.

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IBD/TIPP's survey, which included both Liberal and Green Party candidates, shows that Biden's support slipped from 52 to 49-50, while Trump's support rose from 42-43 to 45, narrowing the gap from 8-9 to 5.

However, the average of other pollsters is:

RCP website: Biden 51.3:42.4 Trump, Biden lead 8.9

270 toWin Website: Biden 52.3:42.7 Trump, Biden lead 9.6

538.com: Biden 52.4:41.9 Trump, Biden lead 10.6

Compared with the national average, the IBD/TIPP figure is 1-2 points lower on Biden's side and 1-2 points higher on Trump's side, a difference of 2-4 points. Overall gap, also difference 3 points.

Assuming that mainstream media surveys have always been biased towards Democrats, their figures need to be adjusted (previously written ,-3), which may be closer to reality than IBD/TIPP surveys. Of course, this is only after 11/4 to say who is the best this year.

IBD/TIPP survey, some data compared with the 2016 results show Trump's current disadvantage.

Over 65, Trump led Hillary by 53:44 in 2016, Won nine points, But now he's in IBD/TIPP investigation, Biden is up 14 points 55 to 41, The gap is 23 points. There are 20% of the 65 voters in the United States.

Among independent voters, Trump was one point ahead of Hillary Clinton in 2016 at 43.42, but Biden is now seven points ahead at 45.38.

 Trump, a non-Hispanic voter, last lost to Hillary Clinton at 28:66, a much bigger 24:70.

 Even among white voters, Trump won more than 15 points in 2016 and is now only 9.5 points ahead. He is not mainly losing white women, and even white men are four points less ahead than in 2016. Old, white and male should be Trump's most solid iron ticket base.

 In terms of the urban-rural gap, the city / metropolitan area, whether in 2016 or this time, is much more supportive of the Democratic Party, this time, in fact, the same, Biden about 18 points ahead. The countryside is Trump's stronghold, and last time, as at present, Trump was 24 points ahead. The key is a suburban battle. Trump won Clinton 50:45 on the outskirts of the city in 2016, but Biden is now 54:39 ahead of the suburbs by 15 points.

 IBD/TIPP the most special thing in the survey is the investor class, They define investors as households with at least $10,000 in assets invested in stocks and mutual funds. In 2016, Trump won Hillary with 48-42, The current figure is Biden 52:44 ahead of Trump. On the non-investors side, Biden took the lead at 47:45.

 In the remaining two weeks, can Trump repeat 2016 and reverse key states in the last 10 days? IBD/TIPP from the latest survey data compared with the 2016 results, the answer is: not necessarily. Because, they did not see obvious signs from the data. Trump is worse than 2016 in several areas, almost nothing better than 2016.

 Trump will not give up until the last minute, which is known all over the world. What is Trump's chance to see in the next two weeks?

 1.10/22. Although the debate will not be very influential, it is definitely one of the variables.

2. whether Trump's string of strong-man performances from diagnosis, hospitalization, discharge, and resumption of the campaign will affect middle-of-the-road voters, his poll support has climbed again to 46-48.

3. after Trump recovered (not knowing if it was 100%), he promised to provide treatment drugs to the whole population, especially the elderly.

4. hearing of the Chancellor of Justice nominee and the completion of the pre-election vote inspired Republican and conservative voters.

5. stimulate economic recovery program clearance, and then to the people and enterprises to pay.

6. the record of mailing ballot papers, there will be more opportunities for disputes and litigation in the future. It is good for Trump to have a lawsuit that makes the election inconclusive.

According to the IBD/TIPP survey, Trump is still 5.7% behind, noting that no presidential candidate has lost more than 3% of the country's votes since 1874(2.1% last time) and won the White House by electoral votes.

However, the worst factor for Trump is that 27.95 million people have completed voting by 10/18 night, accounting for 20.2 percent of the 2016 turnout, a record pre-vote record for the United States. Time is not on Trump's side.

He's still behind in six key states: Buddha, Bing, Mi, North Carolina, Asia, The least behind was Florida 1.4, North Carolina 2.7, Arizona 3.9, Pennsylvania 4.4, Wisconsin 6.1, Michigan 7.2. Biden's win would be a close win. Biden's crisis slipped 50% in overall support, And Pennsylvania's support is about to fall to a safety line of 4(Arizona is only 3.9).

Cnmoulding continue to focus on the US election, which determines the direction of the world. Even for a small mold company like us, which exports $1 million export $1 million a year of precision plastic products.

2020年10月17日星期六

One of Trump's important allies thinks he will fail!

 The Daily Beast website has published an amazing report that has been supporting President Trump and launching Rupert Murdoch, a Western media tycoon who has been campaigning for Trump's political campaign 24/7 by conservative media such as Fox News and the New York Post, who he controls, recently suddenly told people around him that he thinks Trump will fail in this year's election.

According to the Daily Beast report, the statement came from three people who heard Murdoch say the words, but the American media did not reveal their identities.

CNmoulding-a china mold maker:We continue to focus on the US presidential election because he is not a national election. He decided the direction of the whole world. Whether you like the United States or not, you must admit that the United States is the most powerful country in the world.

2020年10月16日星期五

Thanks to Trump, China got better, America go sicker

  American Pulitzer Prize winner Thomas L.Friedman a column in the New York Times

When I watched Trump and Biden's first presidential debate, there was a sudden illusion in my mind: the Chinese must have gathered to watch the debate, and whenever Trump said something unreliable, The Chinese laughed and drank a whisky. In less than half an hour, the Chinese who watched the debate were drunk.


How could this not be possible? Chinese see something they have never seen before —— an incoherent u.s. president, constantly out of control in the camera antics. Trump has shown a clear picture of his eagerness to stay in office, as his failure to re-election could mean prosecution, humiliation, and liquidation.

No wonder the Chinese gloat! An epidemic that began in Wuhan and has been contained in China is still raging among the American population. This is not what we think!

The new crown outbreak should have been China's "Chernobyl" incident, but eventually became the Western countries "Waterloo ". That's what John Mickerswat and Adrian Woodridge put forward in their new book Alert: Why the epidemic exposes Western weaknesses and how to fix it.

According to Johns Hopkins University ,65.74 of every 100000 people in the United States die from the new crown virus, with a total of about 216000 so far. Only 0.34 of every 100,000 people in China died of the new coronavirus, a total of 4750. You can doubt China's data, but even if China's death figures double, China still does much better than the United States in protecting its people.

In fact, at the beginning of this month, when Trump was infected with the new crown virus, the White House became a super-transmission place, and millions of Americans dared not send their children to school, China's local transmission was almost zero. Hundreds of millions of Chinese poured into bus stations, railway stations and airports to celebrate National Day holidays all over the country.

 At the same time, the renminbi has shown unprecedented strength. October 1, bloomberg reported ," the yuan after 12 years of the best quarter, is being a haven of global concern ." China's exports and imports soared in september.

Cnmoulding Note: RMB appreciation is unfavorable to Chinese foreign trade enterprises, including precision mould and automotive precision injection molding.)

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This good situation of economic development should have appeared in the United States!

 Michael twat (Micklethwait), editor-in-chief of bloomberg news agency (Bloomberg News), told me :" we think, relatively speaking, the western government peaked in the 1960s, when the united states was busy sending people to the moon and the chinese were struggling with food and clothing ." Plus ," that was the last time three-quarters of Americans trusted their government ."

 But today we're headed for "a full reversal of history, starting 500 years ago, when china was equally well ahead —— accounting for a quarter of the world's economy, and when the chinese government was by far the most mature ," adds the economist's political editor, woodridge. We forget China's former glory, but China does not. This may be a crucial year for Asia to regain its lead 500 years ago, unless the West awakens ."

 In the face of the current epidemic, if the United States really wants to recover, it needs to develop a national plan to deal with the new crown epidemic. China did well: it deployed all the tools of its authoritarian surveillance system to track people infected with coronavirus and control its spread. Some facial recognition techniques in China are very good. You don't even have to take off your mask and scan your eyes and nose.

 The United States can not adopt this strategy, the United States government system is different from China. But our democratic system has failed to take effective measures to achieve the same epidemic control effect as China.

 This is frustrating!

 America confronted some countries in modern history —— Japan and Germany in World War II, Korea and Soviet Union in Cold War. At the beginning of the war, they always have an advantage: they can command their society to do things from top to bottom through a strong government system. But in the long run, the United States always wins, because although we are usually unprepared for war and start slowly, we always adapt quickly and unite to win the final victory.

 But this time, the United States failed to work together to meet the challenges of the new crown epidemic.

 On March 28 this year, in the face of the spread of the new crown epidemic in the United States, Trump announced that "our country is fighting an invisible enemy ", and he vowed to summon" all the strength of the American nation "to defeat it. But he didn't do it. With the exception of health workers, public solidarity and wartime willingness to sacrifice rarely or quickly disappeared.

 Why? And that's not because democracies do n' t have the capacity to manage the epidemic effectively —— South Korea, Japan and New Zealand are doing much better than we are.

 For this reason, the United States has largely a unique culture of individualism, a highly decentralized place-state-federal power-sharing systems, fragile public health systems, divided politics, and Republicans who have been working to weaken Washington's government; while many Americans are keen to get news from social networks, the spread of social media magnifies conspiracy theories and undermines truth and trust.

 Most of all, we now have a president whose political strategy for re-election is to divide us, destroy trust, destroy the truth, and declare any news that is not in line with his goals "false ". The lack of trust in the truth and scientific control of the epidemic has led to the situation in the United States today.

 The last outbreak in the United States was in 1918, when many Americans didn't mind wearing masks —— You go to the previous photos to know —— because American leaders at that time asked people to do so and set an example. But this time, the president did not use facts as a basis for American trust, but also ignored the threat of the virus and laughed at those wearing masks. So, many Americans don't trust him.

 As a result, in a democracy like ours, it is irrational to discuss how to deal with the new crown epidemic.

Today's troubles are not solved by a new vaccine. And we have lost trust in each other and in our Government, our basic understanding of the truth —— all of which are necessary for a common response to the public health crisis. This trust we have in previous wars, but today in the face of the new crown epidemic is gone. I believe Joe Biden is nominated by the Democratic Party and is likely to win because a large number of Americans intuitively believe that we are disgusted by the status quo of disunity, and Biden may begin to reverse it. Biden's victory was not enough to restore America to a healthy state politically and practically, but it was necessary. At the same time, I hope that Russia, China and other countries, do not take the opportunity to attack us now, the United States is no longer the former United States.


2020年10月15日星期四

Goodbye, Americans middle class

Half of the Americans made less than $34% last year, 248.45 i.e .2 per $per month before taxation, 854.05 10/15/20 The United States Bureau of Social Security (Social Security Administration) issued new wage statistics for 2019, This is shocking. 2019, Half of American workers earn less than $34248.45. That's not a lot of money. Actually, And when you $34, 248.45 divided by 12 hours, All you get is $2, 854.05. Not to mention, If you want to survive in the U.S.$2% a month, 854.05 income is not easy. At least one $a month, It is impossible to live in a major city. Water and electricity, Telephone and other fares $an average of 250$ a month. If you have to pay an average of 300 per month, even by public transport, you have to $120 per month, Apart from corporate support, private individuals pay a minimum $of $100 to $100. Because there are different insurance schemes. At least 200 to 300 yuan per person per month $diet expenditure. This does not count in restaurants and other restaurants. And you never even $2, 854.05 starts, Because all kinds of taxes have been deducted from your salary before you get them. For example, the treaty deducts the Union, State government, and Social Security, And medical insurance, After retirement services provided by the government) the actual income is $27% per annum, 644 yuan, $2 per month, 303 yuan. This year, We've seen more than 63 million Americans make new claims for unemployment, Because the US economy has collapsed during this pandemic, So the final wage figures for 2020 may be much worse than those for 2019. One important new data HBO a Axios program on wired television, The real unemployment rate in the United States reached 26.1 percent of the total number of foreigners. -32.26 per cent of American workers earned less than 20 per cent last year, $1,000. -44.79% of American workers earned less than 30% last year, $1,000. 56.46% of American workers earned less than 40% last year, $1,000. -65.91% of American workers earned less than 50% last year, $1,000.

give Cnmoulding a comment if it is true when you stay in US

Financial escalation in China and the United States

Cnmoulding news:

 America Sniper Top IPO Ant Group

The latest confrontation is erupting in financial markets after a multi-faceted conflict between China and the United States in the last six months. Ant Group, which has Alipay, the country's largest payment platform, is IPO under attack by the U.S. government. The ant group IPO raised as much as $35 billion (about 240 billion yuan) for the world's largest IPO, ever, and the state department has submitted a proposal for the trump administration to blacklist ant groups.




Financing of emerging firms


This year's sharp decline in Sino-US relations, in addition to the two sides in trade, technology, military and other areas of conflict intensified, in the financial sector confrontation is also unfolding. Earlier, the U.S. government is prepared to delist Chinese companies that do not meet U.S. accounting standards and ban Chinese companies from listing in the United States. This major policy change of the United States government has had a significant impact on Chinese enterprises represented by private enterprises. In the past few decades, a large number of new enterprises represented by the Internet in China have gone to the United States to raise and list, and cash to achieve a bigger and stronger path.
Now the United States is preparing the government to draw wages at the bottom of the pot, breaking the development model of Chinese enterprises. Under the huge impact of sudden changes in bilateral relations, companies that had planned to go to the United States in recent months have accelerated the pace of listing in the United States before the door of the United States capital market was completely closed. Want to get money in the United States financial market as soon as possible. China's largest real estate trading platform shell, electric vehicle manufacturer Xiaopeng car, online financial giant Lu Jin Institute and other enterprises are fast-moving to the United States financial markets.
In addition to speeding up U.S. listings, some Chinese companies have also stepped up the pace of overseas financing for Hong Kong listings. Among them, Xiaomi Group, China Iron Tower and other IPO. raised up to 10 billion yuan
To some extent, these companies are concerned that once Sino-US relations are completely deteriorating, the United States will completely ban U.S. institutions from participating in, or buying Chinese enterprises IPO, Chinese enterprises want to achieve overseas financing will be more difficult.
Even in Hong Kong IPO the same. While hong kong's financial markets are under domestic control, stocks are bought by foreign capital, represented by u.s. capital, a $10 trillion investment institution such as the u.s. pension fund.
 Against this backdrop, Ant Group also launched IPO, in Hong Kong and Shanghai and plans to raise as much as $35 billion, the largest ever raised in financial markets. Such a large-scale financing, according to the current Hong Kong and Shanghai stock market conditions, Ant Group's 240 billion yuan financing is expected to be mainly in Hong Kong financing. A single more than 100 billion yuan new issue financing, the current Shanghai securities market is expected to be unbearable. Even if imposed, huge financing shocks will bring unpredictable changes to the market.

Americans is the biggest buyer in the financial markets


 America's state department has submitted a proposal to the white house to blacklist ant before it IPO in shanghai and hong kong.
 Once the ant group is blacklisted by the us government, the theoretical impact is that if a chinese company is listed as a "physical list" in the united states, american companies will not be able to sell technology products to the company without the approval of the us government. As an option for the Trump administration to sanction Chinese companies, such measures have hit China's telecommunications giant Huawei hard in recent years, but the impact on financial services companies such as Ant Group will not be significant.
 The real impact is that Ant Financial Services Group's main underwriters in Hong Kong IPO are American financial giants such as Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley, which may not be involved in Ant Group's IPO once blacklisted by the U.S. government. Ant Group through Hong Kong for more than 100 billion overseas financing, American pension funds and other super institutions are big buyers, whether to be banned to buy also has a huge impact.
 US Senator Marco Rubio made a public statement last week asking the U.S. government to "take steps" to delay ant IPO. in Hong Kong and Shanghai Now the U.S. government is pushing for the ant group to be blacklisted for trade, with the obvious aim of curbing the group's huge sums in Hong Kong. Behind this is the escalation of the conflict between China and the United States, and the escalation of the conflict between China and the United States in financial markets.

As a private plastic injection moulding export enterprise, this article can only be said to be our regret. The United States Government now sees our country as a competitor. Yesterday and our American customers chat, everyone feels very helpless.
 I don't know if it's a relief after the U.S. election.

2020年10月14日星期三

The global chip industry departs from the American trend

 With American technology, you can't sell China. This is today's US hegemony and long-arm jurisdiction over global multinationals.




 This kind of domineering, is not the global company is willing to accept. This kind of bullying of other companies has already brought about the abandonment of American technology.

 China is the world's largest chip market, which directly allows many companies around the world to continue selling China by beginning to consider building products that do not use American technology.

 This is the current global chip industry has appeared the trend of de-Americanization.

As the world's largest importer and consumer of chips, China imports more than $300 billion a year, which has been an "irreplaceable" position for many of the world's chip giants. But since 2018, the United States has been placing more and more Chinese technology companies, such as ZTE and Huawei, on the "physical list ", restricting cooperation between U.S. local companies and Chinese companies on these lists. Since 19 years ago, companies around the world have had to listen to the u.s. as trade between global and chinese-related companies has been restricted.

What is the end of this American bullying that makes global companies obedient?

Things don't seem to go exactly the way Americans think.

As the top ten semiconductor manufacturers in the world, Infineon has always been in TOP1、TOP2 position in the security chip market, has a great reputation in the security chip market, in the field of analog and hybrid signals, radio frequency, power and embedded control devices, have directly mastered the most advanced technology; While Infineon also inevitably uses U.S. technology and equipment in designing and manufacturing related chip products, according to German media reports :" Infineon does not care about the U.S. chip ban, because in the future Infineon will promote a group of non-American semiconductor companies to "beautify" action, so as to achieve the goal of continuing to expand the Chinese chip market layout. Germany's semiconductor giant Infineon recently looked at the "big cake" in the Chinese market. Most of China's chip imports come from American companies, and this time they refuse to supply to let Germany see the opportunity. Infineon's CEO later said: their core technology is registered in Germany and Australia ,100% control of their own technology.

 Not only did infineon, germany, say it would gradually "beautify ", but dassault, a french software giant, said publicly :" future companies will also gradually beautify to ensure that they can continue to serve asian customers ." More than 90% of the world's aircraft use Dassault Systems.

TSMC, which has been affected by new U.S. orders this year, also has its own ideas. A new decision was announced on september 23rd by tsmc chairman liu deyin, who said in an interview that the global semiconductor industry chain had been affected Huawei the supply restrictions, and that companies around the pacific had begun to build their own supply chains, and tsmc, the world's largest chip contract giant, had begun its new decision to use engineers to improve its technology and thus improve its technology.

American trade restrictions on multinational companies have taught many multinationals the dangers and adverse consequences of using American technology. For a long time, America's long-arm jurisdiction has been increasingly abused, but often has to follow some seemingly past "rationality" factors. For example, overseas anti-corruption still presupposes the existence of corruption in overseas transactions, and strict export controls used to be directed mainly at countries with "terrorism" factors.

But in recent years, the long-arm jurisdiction of the United States has become obviously less just and reasonable and legal, and has been a great power competition, unreasonable suppression, arbitrary command of global enterprises to listen to it. And this is huge benefit harm to global multinational enterprise. The vast majority of multinational enterprises do not want to participate in the competition between China and the United States, most of them want to continue to have a huge market in China, and it is not what they want to let these multinational enterprises with more or less American technology listen to the United States. Many of their companies have much greater market interests in China than in the United States.

At the same time, China's continued adherence to reform and opening up has also given global multinational enterprises confidence. China's market remains open to the world, giving clear expectations (not just slogans) to multinational companies in Europe and East Asian countries, not simply "domestic substitution" to deal with American bullying. Instead, it continues to welcome global excellence to embrace the Chinese market, providing global multinationals with a stable and reliable expectation of de-Americanization of technology.

 This stable expectation of China's continued openness and tolerance will cause many multinational enterprises to achieve further beautification. For non-US multinationals, de-Americanization of technology can guarantee continued access to the two largest markets in the United States and China, the outcome of which is their most idealized outcome.

The trend of de-Americanization in the global chip industry, I think, is only the beginning. In time, the United States will understand that his global bullying prohibits the global use of American technology multinational enterprises and China to trade with the bandits, will only eat the fruit.


Indian textile orders transferred to China!!!

  Normal market behaviour

   plastic molding company news, to India many export textile enterprises because of the epidemic situation can not guarantee delivery, many orders transferred to China's production, Ministry of Commerce foreign trade director Li Xingqian said: sincerely hope that India can soon contain the epidemic, restore normal production and life. Each of us is a consumer, in the face of diversified market supply, procurement will compare goods, select quality and cheap and reliable businesses and products, international trade is the same. It is a normal market behavior for multinational companies to adjust order production globally and international buyers to select suppliers according to production capacity.

Situation of precision injection molding industry


 Earlier Japanese companies took orders to India, Vietnam.
 but they can't finish the customer's order. The first is precision mold production capacity, they can be said to be blank, after 40 years of development. Injection molds in China have formed a complete supply chain, and even high-end molds in the United States, Germany and the United Kingdom are produced in China. Whether quality or price, or service is the most first-class, the most competitive.

 This year's trade war brought too many political factors into normal trade, the United States both sides of the game is not good for everyone. But one thing is the fact that business people are very practical, where things are good I buy. Trade has nothing to do with politics.



2020 Old Americans will not elect Trump

 Send Trump into the White House four years ago. This year's big turn for the elderly



After Trump's flip win over the US election in 2016, exit polls and statistics found that even if Trump lost the national universal suffrage, he won the White House by electoral votes in key states. The breakdown later showed that Trump won in: the elderly, white, men, non-collegiate, rural.

Among them, the elderly is Trump not only in the United States, but also in key states to win. In several key states, he got more than 10% of the votes for people over 65. The elderly population in these states has a voter ratio of about 20%, and this 10% lead gap is enough for Trump to win the state.
However, less than 20 days before the general election vote, Trump's approval ratings in several key states were 10-20% behind Biden, in other words, a huge change of up to 30% compared with 2016.

In Florida, the key state in 2016, which Trump must win this year, his silver-haired family in Florida exceeded Clinton's 17 points at 57:40 percent. He won only 1.2% of Hillary Clinton in Florida.
Another key state to the north, Pennsylvania, is the key state for Biden to win or not this year. Trump's voters over 65 in 2016 were 54:44 percent ,10 percentage points higher than Hillary Clinton. His universal suffrage in Pennsylvania won only 0.7 points.
So 65 elderly voters played a key group (at least one) in 2016, winning Trump to the White House.

Current Florida data




 Emerson College's latest Florida poll in Trump's 10/10-12, after Trump's diagnosis, hospitalization, discharge, and resumption of the campaign, the overall number of Trump at 48:51, only three points behind Biden. In Florida, on average, Trump lags Biden by about 4.5 percent.
 But in the Emerson College (A- level) survey, silver-haired Biden over the age of 65 was 51.1%:44.9% Trump, with Biden leading 6.2 points. This gap is double the state-wide gap. The related questionnaire also asked about Trump's governance satisfaction ,52.7 percent dissatisfied and 44.6 percent satisfied. Whether satisfied or supportive, Trump is 45-.
 Florida Atlantic University (FAU) did a Florida survey on 10/9-10, and the results were very similar. Among the 65-year-old Florida people, Biden led by 11.5% with 53.6%:42.1% Trump. Biden was only 4% ahead of the 51:47 survey in Florida.
 These two latest surveys of the state's overall figures, Trump and Biden in Florida gap only one point outside the error range, it is premature to say who wins and who loses. However, both surveys show that Trump's lag behind over 65 is twice or more than the overall gap. In 2016, with 65 votes ahead of 10 points, Trump's silver-haired nation in Florida has fallen more than 20 points in four years.

Pennsylvania North



The 2016 Trump exit poll after the Pennsylvania vote showed Trump leading Hillary Clinton by 10 points to 65-year-old voters at 54:44.
MorningConsult a rolling 10/2-11 poll, Biden's approval rating for voters over 65 is eight points ahead of Trump by 52:44. The whole state of Pennsylvania is 52:44. Biden's lead in silver hair is the same as overall.
Monmouth University's 9/30-10/4 survey, Pennsylvania overall Biden led Trump eight points at 53:45. Yet among voters over the age of 65, Biden leads Trump by 13 points at 55:42.
However, the opposite figure appeared in the Emerson College survey, with Trump leading Biden 52.8:44.4 for people over 65.
The Penn survey didn't produce exactly the same results (Biden's flip was one behind), but Trump's silverhead in Pennsylvania (10 points) is unlikely to reappear compared with four years ago.

Conclusion of injection molder


 With only 20 days left in the election, Trump is nearly 10% behind in national polls, and few believe he will lead in universal suffrage this time. His only chance, as he did four years ago, was to win the key states and re-elect them.
 Therefore, the change in the support of certain ethnic groups in the key states is sufficient to affect the results this time. Many times, Biden's key: Pennsylvania-led: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, win these three will win. Trump is: Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, plus two of Binghami's.
 Silverheads account for about 20% of votes in Florida and Pennsylvania, where Trump won four years ago and could reverse this year. Already 1.78 million people in Florida have completed the vote, with a high proportion of elderly and Democratic supporters. It'seems that the old people have decided and voted early. Will their votes be enough to allow the election to be turned over again in Florida, Pennsylvania? This trend is bad for Trump.

2020年10月13日星期二

The Chinese people who have won the new crown show strong consumer power

  CNMOULDING NEWS:National holiday, the Chinese people's grand festival!

 For the Chinese, the 11th is not only the National Day, Mid-Autumn Festival, but also not only the eight-day holiday, more importantly, this is a national consumption carnival.

According to data published by the State, three groups are of particular concern.

First, from October 1 to 8,637 million domestic tourists, far more than expected.

Second, domestic tourism consumption reached 466.5 billion, and retail and catering consumption alone exceeded 1.6 trillion.

Third, online is even more crazy, only the Chinese market pinduoduo's physical consumption unexpectedly soared 81.5.

This is a very exciting thing for the Chinese economy, but a matter for foreign countries.


 Because this represents the overall control of the Chinese epidemic, no longer hidden dangers; represents the recovery of the Chinese economy, and is about to be a comprehensive recovery; represents the strong consumption capacity of the Chinese people, and is growing strongly online and offline.



 Most importantly, these consumption, almost all at home.

 Our people, from the main point of view, no longer take luxury goods or general goods from Europe and the United States as a capital to show off, they are now more rational, more willing to support domestic.

 After an epidemic, let the Chinese recognize not only the so-called democracy, freedom, universal values of hypocrisy in Western countries, but also realize that only by making the country truly strong, the people can enjoy happiness.

 And more support for domestic, in fact, is to protect themselves.


The crisis of the epidemic and the economic crisis brought about by the epidemic, especially the technological crisis brought by the Trump administration of the United States to suppress China's high-tech, agree with, believe in and support China's domestic production.

 The crisis has become an opportunity for the further rise of domestic production, contributing to the return of most Chinese consumption.

 Of course, this is not a good thing for Western countries. When the Chinese mainly choose home-made, Western countries will lose huge markets and huge profits.

 With the support of Chinese people, it will also promote Chinese enterprises to have more motivation and confidence to invest in R & D, upgrade their own technology and core competitiveness in an all-round way, so that China's technological capabilities can be improved as a whole. Even beyond the United States, Europe and Japan.

Even in the technical field, just a pure consumption of tourism, the global epidemic, so that the world's largest tourist group Chinese choose to travel at home.


 Before the hot spot Europe, completely lost the Chinese tourist, the loss is heavy. Especially before the Chinese favorite Japan, without Chinese tourists, that is called a miserable!


 So, just a long holiday, the Chinese people show a strong consumer power, Europe and the United States, Japan are sour, but also worried that this consumption power will stay in China after more.

 Yesterday, according to the World Economic Outlook report released by the International Monetary Fund, the global economy is expected to shrink by 4.4 percent by 2020, while China's economy will grow by 1.9 percent, the only major economy in the world to achieve positive growth. China's economy will soar to more than 8% by next year.

 Of course, an outbreak also completely restored the truth: whether in Europe and the United States or in Japan, even in Taiwan Province of China, Hong Kong, all garbage is thrown by mainland Chinese people, all uncivilized things are done by mainland Chinese people.

 But now the mainland has not gone to Europe, America, Japan, even Taiwan Province, Hong Kong, these places are still garbage everywhere, uncivilized behavior everywhere.



Originally, mainland Chinese people have been in the back of the pot!

On the contrary, in mainland China, littering is less and less, uncivilized behavior is also less and less!

 After this outbreak, all Chinese, including china mold maker, have more confidence.


2020年10月12日星期一

The new coronavirus was found again in China

 Qingdao reported 12 cases of positive ,11 holidays received more than 4 million tourists from where?

Blue map since January 28 this year released epidemic map, and on the basis of big data regularly launched epidemic trend analysis.
The global epidemic continued to accelerate this week, with a total of 2.286 million infections a week, up 12 percent from last week, with India continuing to be the world's first new week, the United States remaining high, and Europe's second wave of outbreaks ferocious.



In mainland China, zero new diagnoses were broken, Qingdao reported 3 new crown positive patients on the 11th ,9 positive patients in the early hours of the 12th, and Hong Kong added 69 cases a week, up 43 percent from the previous week, stepping into the fourth wave of the epidemic.

As temperatures in the northern hemisphere cool and autumn and winter fall, new cases continue to innovate in many European countries. In Asia, outbreaks in India, Nepal and other countries are worrying, while new cases in the United States have been hovering high on a single day. Yang Gonghuan, former deputy director of the China CDC, said in an interview with reporters on the 11th that the rebound of the new crown epidemic in autumn and winter has begun, and the second wave of the epidemic has begun. However, she also believes that as human experience with the new crown epidemic continues to accumulate, mortality has been declining, so don't worry as much as the first wave of the epidemic occurred.



First, domestic epidemic dynamics: Qingdao added 6 cases of diagnosis ,6 cases of asymptomatic infection Qingdao late night notification :6 cases of diagnosis ,6 cases of asymptomatic infection!
 On October 11, the Qingdao Health and Health Commission announced that three new cases of asymptomatic infection with coronavirus pneumonia were added in Qingdao, of which 2 were found by hospitals in nucleic acid detection of common patients and 1 in immediate nucleic acid detection of close contacts.
 It is worth noting that these three asymptomatic infected persons are associated with the city chest hospital, the specific source of infection is under further investigation, and one case is a taxi driver, self-described "driving has been wearing a mask, do not talk to passengers ".
 Some independent areas of the city chest hospital are responsible for the treatment of overseas imported new crown virus infection, the spread of the epidemic caused official and public vigilance.
 Subsequently, Qingdao organized a large-scale flow survey and classification test, and focused on the monitoring of close contacts and related personnel of the city chest hospital as high risk population.

This morning, the Qingdao Health and Health Commission announced the latest progress:
 A total of 377 patients and accompanying personnel were found in close contact and all hospital patients in the city chest hospital, including 377 people
 New nucleic acid test results were positive for 9 people (including 8 patients in hospital and escort staff ,1 patient's family). As determined by the Panel, Among them ,4 cases were confirmed and 5 cases were asymptomatic infected. As at 2300 hours on 11 October, Six confirmed cases were found in Qingdao, Among them ,2 cases were released on October 11, an asymptomatic infected person Jiang Xime (female), Han Xime returned; Six cases of asymptomatic infection. So far, All confirmed cases and asymptomatic infected persons were highly correlated with the city chest hospital. 76 close contacts have been identified, Out of 34, Negative; 810 general contacts, The results were 485, All negative. Investigation of the city's medical institutions staff, new inpatients and escort staff of 143893 people, Complete sampling, Outcomes were 11,4862, All negative. Currently, Qingdao has developed and started the full staff testing program, It is expected that within 3 days, full coverage will be provided to the five districts of south, north, Li Cang, Laoshan and Chengyang, Full coverage of citywide testing within 5 days, The test results will be released in time.



The source of the Qingdao epidemic is still to be identified. Previously, On 24 September, Qingdao City in Qingdao Port Dagang Company imported cold chain products loading and unloading workers for regular routine testing, Two cases of asymptomatic infection with new coronavirus pneumonia were found. Then 1440 samples were collected covering cold chain products and the environment, Complete nucleic acid detection, A total of 51 positive samples were detected. According to the Health Times, Qingdao Culture and Tourism Bureau monitoring data show, This year's National Day, Mid-Autumn Festival, Qingdao received 4.4758 million visitors, 28 September-8 October, Qingdao Railway Station sent a total of 744000 passengers. 93 A level scenic spots monitored, A total of 2.8273 million visitors, It reached nearly 70% in the same period last year. So where are the more than 4 million passengers from? Health times reporter checks 360 migration map to see, For the period from 26 September to 5 October, The three places with the largest number of people from all over Qingdao are in Shandong Province, Jinan City, Weifang City, Yantai City are three cities. Taiyuan is the city with the largest number of people from other provinces, Qingdao is also in and out of the top 10 cities in the only provincial city.
On the evening of 11 October, Jinan Municipal Party Committee as a whole epidemic prevention and control and economic operation work leading group (headquarters) held a video dispatch meeting to carry out emergency deployment of epidemic prevention and control work. Two nucleic acid tests were carried out on the basis of the requirements of the workers of Qingdao since September 23, 1 serum antibody test (2 nucleic acid test interval 24 hours). From now on, the new workers in Qingdao strictly follow the 1 7"(i.e .2 nucleic acid tests ,1 serum antibody test ,7 days health monitoring) control requirements. 12 October, Yantai CDC also issued a tip, From the city of Qingdao since September 23, Report to your community, In the self-protection of their own to medical institutions or testing institutions for testing. 11 October, Qingdao released the news of three new cases of asymptomatic infection, Shandong Heze Mudan District, Liaoning Dalian City, Liaoning Dandong City, Jilin Province Baicheng City, Jiangxi Ganzhou City and other places have issued reminders "if not necessary, Do not go to Qingdao in the near future ". About the Qingdao epidemic, At 9:00 this morning, Dr. Zhang Wenhong's voice in his personal microblog :" China is more successful because of its early anti-epidemic, At present, there are basically no cases of local transmission nationwide, Even in a local outbreak like Qingdao, can also be obtained by expanding the detection to' dynamic zeroing', To achieve the most cost-effective anti-epidemic effect ."

Although our country has discovered the new crown virus again, but as a Chinese mold maker, we are very confident in our country's control ability, CNMOULDING believe we will control it soon.
 As a precision injection molding company, I would like to say to friends all over the world, rest assured to do business in China, we are very safe here.

2020年10月11日星期日

French institutions announced global happiness rankings. China ranks wonderfully

 Russian media 9 news, French institutions announced the global happiness ranking.

It is reported that France's Ipsos happiness poll results, in the world's 27 countries, China ranked 93% of the first. The Netherlands and Saudi Arabia ranked second and third with 87% and 80% respectively, and global happiness has plummeted in the last decade. China is the only country with a sharp rise in happiness, up 15 percentage points. China ranks amazing! This shows that China has a lot of foreign even if there is money, it is difficult to change things exist.



Curious, China's per capita gdp is not outstanding, but happiness is still very high. Economic base determines superstructure, to have higher happiness, naturally there is a certain degree of economic base, the actual third is the Saudi Arabia known as Tuhao, the second is the developed country, the Netherlands, are not bad money, but the problem is that the first is China with lower per capita gdp.


That is, China is better at security. Saudi Arabia, for example, in the Middle East, is indeed rich, but in recent years it has often engaged in armed exchanges with Houthis, suffered missile attacks, and so on; the Netherlands can also legally carry guns under certain conditions, with occasional shootings. And this new crown epidemic, the Netherlands has been diagnosed more than 150000, you say, once in that world, no matter how much money can not take away, safety is very important. And that's why china is amazing: even if its per capita gdp is low, it can still be at the top of happiness.


CNMOULDING agree with this report, yesterday our European customers informed me that their country was going to be closed again. I told him that everything is normal in China now. We have just finished 8 days of vacation, travel, shopping, everything recovered as before.

 The common people are very satisfied with the government's control of the epidemic. Everyone's life is also very happy. Although many people say our country is not good, let them to ask the Chinese people what is our really feeling.

 Of course, I also pray that God bless the end of the epidemic abroad as soon as possible, the people of the world live and work in peace and contentment.

All walks of life, including our mold manufacturing and plastic precision injection molding, are thriving, with jobs and money

2020年10月8日星期四

Distribution of wealth under the epidemic

 China's super-rich saw a 41 percent rise in wealth and a widening gap between rich and poor



Japan's Nikkei Asian Review October 7, the original title: in the recovery after the lifting of the epidemic blockade, China's super-rich wealth surged 41 percent, the value of Chinese super-rich assets is rising from the March trough caused by the new crown epidemic, from April 2019 to the end of July this year, their total wealth increased 41 percent, breaking the $1.5 trillion mark, but also raising the total wealth of the world's billionaires to a record high.

 As the world's second largest economy, China is the first major economy to recover from the new crown epidemic. China has a record 415 billionaires, with $1.7 trillion in total wealth under control, according to a new report by UBS and PricewaterhouseCoopers. By contrast, the two figures for April were 389 and 1.2 trillion dollars respectively.

 China's billionaires have created more wealth than the rest of the world, thanks to the fact that it has managed to contain the epidemic by march. Curbing the epidemic helped boost economic activity and boost wealth creation in health care, technology, materials and entertainment. According to data compiled by bloomberg, a succession of IPO( initial public offerings in the first half of this year brought more than 20 chinese founders into the billionaires' club.

 At a news conference Wednesday, Amy Lu, UBS's Asia-Pacific co-head of wealth management, said China's wealth creation was "closely linked to innovation and technology ".

 China's billionaires' total wealth has increased eightfold over the past decade, while the wealth of the wealthiest groups in the United States has only doubled, the report said. At the beginning of 2020, the global billionaires' total wealth fell 6.6 percent, to 43, to 2058. Meanwhile, China's billionaires' total wealth increased by a fifth.

The report shows that China's billionaires are mostly technology entrepreneurs, including Ma Yun and Ma Huateng, followed by industry, retail, materials and health executives.

In fact, today's employment problem is very serious, many people have been unemployed, many manufacturing producers have closed down. Some plastic injection molding companies around can not support, so the gap between rich and poor is not good for social development.

2020年10月6日星期二

First half GDP in 2020

 The United States fell 4.6 percent, so what about China?

No need to say, everyone also knows that Chinese science and technology ah, decades ago is still very weak, after years of development, the level of science and technology has finally caught up. With the development of science and technology, our life has changed dramatically. Looking back on life more than ten or twenty years ago, we feel like dreams.

It is also thanks to the great progress of science and technology, so our country's economic growth is also very rapid, especially valuable, our economic growth has always maintained a relatively fast speed, and by contrast, developed countries like the United States, Their economic growth rate has been very slow.

This year is also an unusual year, because the outbreak caused a certain degree of "degradation" of the world's economy, according to statistics, only two of the more than 200 countries in the world have maintained positive economic growth. Come today to tell you the first half of 2020 GDP ranking: the United States fell 4.6, so what about China?

 Let's first look at the GDP of the top US, which GDP reached $10.11 trillion in the first half of the year, shrinking 4.6 percent from last year. But as we all know, the United States is one of the worst countries in the world. Under such severe circumstances, the United States can still maintain a $10.11 trillion GDP, which has to admire the strength of the United States.

However, to admire, the real king is still China, our country is the first outbreak of the epidemic, after a difficult war and epidemic, our economy fell in the first quarter, but the second quarter has been restored. The economy began to grow again, GDP in the first half reached $6.5 trillion.
China has given the world a perfect answer, and the big problem of the epidemic has not defeated us. On the contrary, it is an opportunity to make us more powerful. We have begun to hide our strength and continue to develop. China mold maker believe that in the near future, Our country will develop like other countries.