2020年9月7日星期一

China's Declining Fertility

  Fertility has declined all the way, and the post-00s are nearly half a billion less than the post-90s

   When it comes to the aging of the population, many people feel that they are still "in their prime" and can not feel how serious the aging population is. But the birth rate of newborns has been declining, and young people must have a clear perception. After all, more and more young people...
 In the early days of the founding of the people's Republic of China, China's population was "40,000 people ", that is, the total population of 400 million people, a century later, China's population directly forced 1.3 billion people, and the demographic dividend also made China's economy move forward at full speed. But with the increasing population, the development of the country has also been hindered, so the family planning policy has been implemented.
 In the 1980s, the country carried out family planning because too much population hindered economic development, and the implementation of the family planning policy could avoid the risk of overpopulation in China. But with the passage of time, we never thought that the demographic dividend has become "aging aggravation ".
Because the fertility rate has been low, China's aging problem is obviously accelerating seriously. As the problem becomes more and more serious, the state has liberalized the two-child policy. But since 2017, the birth rate has been declining. This also shows that the two-child policy has not raised people's "fertility" interest.
 In 2017, when the two-child policy was officially liberalized, the number of newborns in China was 17.23 million, but by 2018, the "fierce birth" situation that experts expected did not appear, but the number of newborns fell, just 15.23 million. By 2019, the number was even smaller, with 14.65 million newborns born.




China's fertility rate has fallen, which is an indisputable fact, although the state introduced policies to reward multi-child families, still can not avoid young people's "marriage, infertility" social phenomenon. And the distribution of population institutions in society is also releasing dangerous signals.
 According to relevant data, the current population of China's post-90s population is 11.72 million fewer than the post-80s population. As the main force of the labor force, the post-90s is a highly expected group. Look at the total population after 00, compared with 90 less than nearly 47 million people, rounded is half a billion!


For young people who do not want to have children, some say it is because of money, others say it is because of changes in mind. No matter which factor it is, it is "true ". According to the current fertility rate, will anyone want to have children in the next ten years? We can't imagine the answer.

Our manufacturing industry is upgrading, from low-end processing to their own R & D products.
 There will be no more jobs in the future, but high-end employment demand is still large, such like automotive injection molding service. So the population is a productive force or a very important direction for our country.

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