2020年10月3日星期六

Trump's infection does n' t help the campaign, but it may risk further deterioration in Sino-US relations

 On October 2, Trump revealed that he and first lady Melania were infected with the new crown pneumonia. Although Trump and his wife Melania say they are in good shape and White House doctors have issued statements saying they are in good condition, according to U.S. CNN, medical experts say Trump may take at least a week to develop symptoms of new crown pneumonia.



 Referring to Boris Johnson's case, he felt good at the beginning of the diagnosis, but finally became severe and on the ventilator. Although Johnson may have been infected with a higher virus density and seemed more toxic at the time, Boris Johnson was younger than Trump, and the Trump BMI index reached 30.4, for obese people, so Trump is not likely to become severe.

 Some think Trump's illness is good for the election, and some even think it's a conspiracy. But Cnmoulding should see that American voters have a good understanding of their position, and because of the social tear, both Trump and anti-Trump voters are very firm, and will not change their vote because of the infection with Trump's new crown pneumonia. As for middle voters or swing states, this time it is small, and middle voters clearly have more reason to think Trump is self-inflicted.

Instead, Trump's illness may pose a bigger problem for the Republican presidential election, and serious health problems for candidates can easily lead to chaos within the campaign, especially for Trump, a low-quality decision-making team. There are many conceited ambitions but the strategy is very rough. Where Trump may not be able to control the situation, there may be some people within the team looking for self-interest and undermining the quality of the campaign.



For now, the biggest beneficiary of Trump's infection is the Republican establishment, and Mike Burns can have more power for the time being, which could make some arrangements for the Republican establishment. Of course, the Republican Party is still running around the election, and whether Pence will be hit by a pie in the sky or whether Trump will be unlucky enough to become sick or sick. The odds are small, but it would be interesting to see if the Republican establishment would push the Republican de-Trump,

So, on a temporary basis, Trump's infection may not have much impact on the election. A potential danger, however, is whether Trump will spread his emotions to China if he becomes severe and recovers after severe pain. Although the US presidential election is November 3, the formal transfer of power is January 20, and whether Trump's emotional push for a policy that seriously deteriorates Sino-US relations will become a potential risk. Although Trump hides the merchant's shrewdness behind the "giant baby ", his inability to reasonably control his emotions and extreme egotistical personality has been repeatedly confirmed, so he could have extremely serious consequences if he spread the accumulated defeat and illness into Sino-US relations.


The US presidential campaign, which had already targeted China, is now making more variables.
 We hope that China-US relations will return to normal as soon as possible. The hope of a Chinese mold maker.


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